Brady Cerkownyk
C · High-A · 23.0y · #5570 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
25 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
55 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st True… at $75.98. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Brady Cerkownyk scores 25 out of 100 (#5570 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: premium position — C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 13 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Contact: well below
38.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
13 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (38.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 30 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 30 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 30 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
55 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 55 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 49 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st True Orange Prospect Auto /25 Tigers
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$75.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome - Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCE Green /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 14d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.59
no sold price
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome - Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCE Green /99 (AU)
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 226d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Mojo Refractor Auto /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 253d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.99
modeled ~$2.25
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome BRADY CERKOWNYK 1st RC Mojo Refractor AUTO 33/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 20d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.90
no sold price
LOTTERY
Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto /150 HTA Choice Refractor Tigers
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.24
modeled ~$2.25
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.44 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +87%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.10 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.32 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.19, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.19 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +52%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -54%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.24 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +103%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.72 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +49%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.59, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.59 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $75.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $75.98 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +504%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 42 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 42 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
38.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
44
below average · better than 27% at his level
.091 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
7.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 40% at his level · the result, not a skill
.672 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 21th percentile of the cohort, production at the 40th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 21 and his production sits at 40, a gap of -19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 21th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.6 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
13
AVG
.273
OBP
.308
SLG
.364
OPS
.672
better than 40%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
7.7
K%
38.5
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market55 listed · 55 eBay-verified · 49 not shown above
- Listings
- 55
- Lowest live
- $3.99
- Median ask
- $8.39
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.10
55 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 49 cards
- $16.24Brady Cerkownyk 1st Auto -2024 Bowman Chrome Mini-Diamond #/100 CPA-BCE -TigersLOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto Mini Diamond Refractor 1st #67/100NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.002024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto Purple Refractor 128/250 1st BowmanLOTTERY
- $11.992024 Bowman Chrome BRADY CERKOWNYK 1st RC Rookie Auto Purple Refractor /250 DFB9LOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Prospects Purple Auto /250 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.322024 Bowman Chrome Baseball CPA-BCE Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Speckle Auto /299LOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #92/299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball CPA-BCE Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Speckle Auto /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.44Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC Tigers /499LOTTERY
- $8.98BRADY CERKOWNYK 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR TIGERS AUTO /499LOTTERY
- $10.25Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
- —BRADY CERKOWNYK 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR TIGERS AUTO /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Prospect Auto Refractor 1st #/499 #CPA-BCENEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.772024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph BRADY CERKOWNYK Auto PSA 10 Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.902024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.102024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 TigersLOTTERY
- $3.992024 Bowman Chrome - Brady Cerkownyk #CPA-BCE Chrome Prospect Auto 1st BowmanLOTTERY
- $3.992024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BCE Brady Cerkownyk Prospects 1st Bowman Auto - BK1LOTTERY
- $4.252024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto Base #CPA-BCELOTTERY
- $5.00Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st AUTOLOTTERY
- $5.24BRADY CERKOWNYK 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-BCELOTTERY
- $5.762024 BRADY CERKOWNYK 1st BOWMAN⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO AUTOGRAPH!💎FREE SHIPPING💎LOTTERY
- $6.992024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Base Auto #CPA-BCE On Card Tiger ProspectLOTTERY
- $7.482024 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Brady Cerkownyk AUTO #CPA-BCELOTTERY
- $7.702024 Bowman Chrome 1st Brady Cerkownyk Autograph Detroit Tigers Auto on CardLOTTERY
- $7.952024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BCE Brady Cerkownyk 1st Base Prospect Auto TigersLOTTERY
- $7.992024 Bowman Chrome 1st Brady Cerkownyk Autograph Detroit Tigers Auto on CardLOTTERY
- $8.392024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-BCE QTY+LOTTERY
- $9.512024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto 1st #CPA-BCE TigersLOTTERY
- $10.79BRADY CERKOWNYK 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO CPA-BCE TIGERSLOTTERY
- —Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk #CPA-BCE Auto 1st Prospect Tigers !!!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Brady Cerkownyk #CPA-BCE Chrome Prospect Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Auto 1st #CPA-BCE [Tigers]NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome BRADY CERKOWNYK 1ST AUTO CPA-BCE, DETROIT TIGERSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO #CPA-BC Brady Cerkownyk TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Base Auto #CPA-BCE On Card Tiger ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Base Auto Autograph Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-BCENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Brady Cerkownyk 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCE Tigers Only One B6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Autograph BRADY CERKOWNYK Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —BRADY CERKOWNYK 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO CPA-BCE TIGERSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCE TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Brady Cerkownyk 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BCE TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $14.722024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor /100 Brady Cerkownyk Auto jg3LOTTERY
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME BRADY CERKOWNYK 1ST RC AUTO CPA-BCE Tigers ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BCE Brady Cerkownyk 1st Prospect Auto Refractor 220/499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.192024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Brady Cerkownyk Auto 0c6LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run