Jorel Ortega
2B · Wichita Wind Surge · Double-A · 25.0y · #5608 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
24 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
36 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Jorel Ortega scores 24 out of 100 (#5608 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: above average — 24 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 61% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (36.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Contact: well below
36.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.667 last season to .456 this one.
Power slipping
.136 last season to .088 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: above average
24 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 61% at his level.
Premium position
2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (36.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JORT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JORT
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Jorel Ortega #CPA-JORT Twins
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 241d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.40
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Jorel Ortega #CPA-JORT Twins
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 241d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.40
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
2023 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO JOREL ORTEGA
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 166d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.01
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JORT Jorel Ortega 1st Bowman Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 837d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.25
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-JORT Twins 1st
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 34d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.44
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JORT Minnesota Twins
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 22d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.31
modeled ~$5.00
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.40 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.56 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +163%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -35%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.29 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.29 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
35
well below · better than 7% at his level
36.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
.088 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
8.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
24 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level · the result, not a skill
.456 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 9th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 83% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 9, a gap of +22. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 83th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.8 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
176
AVG
.146
OBP
.222
SLG
.234
OPS
.456
better than 9%
HR
4
SB
7
BB%
8.5
K%
36.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .667 to .456 OPS this season.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.667▼.456
Power
.136▼.088
Walks
11.4%▼8.5%
Strikeouts
25.5%▲36.9%
Last season, 263 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
- Listings
- 36
- Lowest live
- $4.40
- Median ask
- $8.29
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.40
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.49
36 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 30 cards
- $6.90Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-JORT Twins 1stPASS
- $6.99Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-JORT Minnesota Twins RcPASS
- $7.492023 Bowman Chrome JOREL ORTEGA 1st Purple Refractor Auto RC #/250PASS
- $7.92Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JORT Auto 1st RCPASS
- $8.29JOREL ORTEGA 2023 Bowman Chrome MOJO REFRACTOR ~ Twins 1st RC AUTO /150PASS
- $8.602023 Jorel Ortega Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto RC #CPA-JORT (H154)PASS
- $10.29JOREL ORTEGA 2023 Bowman Chrome GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR ~ Twins 1st RC AUTO /99PASS
- $11.31Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Card Minnesota TwinsPASS
- $11.482023 Bowman Chrome JOREL ORTEGA 1st Prospect Auto MIN TWINS #CPA-JORTPASS
- $11.562023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 113/499 Jorel Ortega #CPA-JORT Auto 1p0ePASS
- $11.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JORT Jorel Ortega 1st Chrome Purple Refractor Auto #/250PASS
- $12.952023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega CPA-JORT 1st Base Prospect Auto Twins PASS
- $16.002023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega Auto 1st Prospect TwinsPASS
- $29.952023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-JORT Twins SGC 10PASS
- $35.002023 Topps Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega CPA-JORT Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10PASS
- —Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Autograph Refractor /499 TwinsPASS
- —Jorel Ortega 1st Bowman Auto 2023 Bowman Chrome Blue Wave Refractor /150PASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega Auto Minnesota Twins CPA-JORT 1st PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JORT Jorel Ortega 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jorel Ortega Auto CPA-JORT TwinsPASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega Auto Minnesota Twins CPA-JORT 1st PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-JORT TwinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jorel Ortega | 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | Twins RCPASS
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME JOREL ORTEGA 1ST BOWMAN AUTO #CPA-JORT MINT MINNESOTA TWINSPASS
- —Jorel Ortega 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-JORT TwinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega Silver Refractor Auto #/499 1st Bowman Twins PASS
- —🔥2023 Bowman Chrome JOREL ORTEGA 1st Auto #CPA-JORT MINNESOTA TWINS🔥PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Jorel Ortega Purple Refractor 1st Auto #/250 Twins 💎🔥PASS
- —JOREL ORTEGA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1ST CHROME AUTO #CPA-JORT TWINSPASS
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Red Wave Refractor Jorel Ortega Auto 1/5 RC SSP TwinsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run