Deal Sniper

Adael Amador

2B · Triple-A · 23.0y · #186 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

74 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

23 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Adael Amador 2021 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $11.42. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Adael Amador scores 74 out of 100 (#186 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .883 last season to .810 this one.

  • Contact: plus-plus

    11.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 93% at his level.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    14.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.

  • Call-up is close

    Readiness 80/100 — the promotion is the single biggest price event in a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AAM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AAM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Adael Amador 🔥 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Auto RC # /50 💎 PSA 9 at $305, 724% over the $37 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/50 at or under $37 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

23 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 23 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 17 are under "The whole live market".

  • Adael Amador 🔥 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Auto RC # /50 💎 PSA 9

    /50 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 807d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $305.00

    sold $37

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft BDC-195 Adael Amador Rockies 1st Bowman Chrome Non-Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 579d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    $4.23

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Draft #BDC-195 Adael Amador Chrome Refractor 1st Non-Auto QTY

    Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 723d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.24

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Adael Amador 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Rookie RC Auto Rockies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.55

    modeled ~$20.00

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Adael Amador 2021 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 470/499 RC z1

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.42

    modeled ~$46.00

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1ST AUTO Adael Amador

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 933d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.00

    modeled ~$20.00

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.55 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.42 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +34%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 58 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 58 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    11.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    .169 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    59

    plus · better than 82% at his level

    14.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    16 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .810 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 74th percentile of the cohort, production at the 65th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 74 and his production sits at 65, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 61th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

408

AVG

.268

OBP

.373

SLG

.437

OPS

.810

better than 65%

HR

11

SB

11

BB%

14.5

K%

11.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .883 to .810 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.883▼.810

Power

.175→.169

Walks

13.5%▲14.5%

Strikeouts

12.7%▼11.0%

Last season, 371 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market23 listed · 23 eBay-verified · 17 not shown above
Listings
23

23 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.23
Median ask
$39.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$8.55
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$11.42

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 17 cards

  • $25.982021 Bowman ADAEL AMADOR Chrome 1st AUTO PSA 9 Mint RC Autograph RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.98Adael Amador Signed 2022 Bowman Chrome Pink Lava /199 Psa AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.98Adael Amador Signed 2022 Bowman Chrome Aqua Mojo /225 Psa AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $43.982021 Bowman Adael Amador CPA-AAM 1st Chrome Auto PSA 10 Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $43.992021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-AAM RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $51.522021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Refractor /499 Adael Amador #CPA-AAM Auto 3irNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $250.002021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador 1ST Gold Refractor AUTO 35/50 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $250.002021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador 1ST Gold Refractor AUTO 15/50 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $270.002021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador 1ST Orange Refractor AUTO 11/25 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $349.952024 Bowman Chrome Top 100 1/1 Superfractor Adael Amador Auto Autograph PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome - Adael Amador 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 - COLOR MATCHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Adael Amador CPA-AAM 1st Chrome Auto PSA 10 Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Adael Amador CPA-AAM Prospect Auto PSA 10 GEM MT RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Adael Amador - Fresh PullNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-AAM PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Adael Amador Speckle 1ST AUTO Refractor /299 SGC 9.5 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Adael Amador 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Rookie RC Auto RockiesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now