Luis Peña
SS · Double-A · 19.0y · #914 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /499 asks $246, over the $174–210 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is *READ* 2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto… at $70. Needs a $5 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Luis Peña scores 59 out of 100 (#914 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $74–110 off 2 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+5.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
4.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.844 last season to .737 this one.
Power slipping
.161 last season to .125 this one.
Speed: plus
48 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 88% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to Double-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$73.80–110midpoint $82.00
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 8 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$70.00delivered
*READ* 2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto #CPA-LP 1st Prospect Milwaukee Brewers — $70 delivered, 15% under the $82–100 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Needs a $5 drop
- *READ* 2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto… at or under $65.60 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: needs a $86 drop.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
33 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 33 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 27 are under "The whole live market".
*READ* 2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto #CPA-LP 1st Prospect Milwaukee Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Needs a $5 drop
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$70.00
sold $82–100
WATCH · 15% under
Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 1st Bowman
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$686.00
modeled $71.76
WATCH
Luis Pena Auto 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Speckle /299 PSA 10 GEM MT #CPA-LP
/299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 14d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$650.00
modeled $69
WATCH
2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto #CPA-LP 1st PSA 10 GEM MINT Brewers RC Rookie
base · PSA 10 · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$226.90
sold $55.20
WATCH
Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 #CPA-LP Milwaukee Brewers
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$356.99
sold $55.20
WATCH
Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 #CPA-LP Brewers
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $55.20
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Luis Peña, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
Compared within $35.00–$73.50, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $70.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $70.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- BlueTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $335.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $335.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +379%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $245.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $245.94 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $166.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $166.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $231.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $231.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $479.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $479.20 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +107%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Lava Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $600.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $600.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4499.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4499.99 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +649%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
28.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
.125 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level
4.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level
48 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 58% at his level · the result, not a skill
.737 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill
+5.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 43th percentile of the cohort, production at the 58th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 43 and his production sits at 58, a gap of -15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 26th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.2 / 10
- already at Double-A
- young for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
25
AVG
.292
OBP
.320
SLG
.417
OPS
.737
better than 58%
HR
1
SB
2
BB%
4.0
K%
28.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .844 to .737 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.844▼.737
Power
.161▼.125
Walks
9.1%▼4.0%
Strikeouts
13.3%▲28.0%
Last season, 309 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market33 listed · 33 eBay-verified · 27 not shown above
- Listings
- 33
- Lowest seen
- $70.00
- Median ask
- $255.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $70.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $166.99
33 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 27 cards
- —2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto #CPA-LP 1st PSA 10 GEM MINT Brewers RC RookieWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Luis Pena 1st Bowman Auto Green Grass Refractor /99 #CPA-LPWATCH
- $479.202024 Bowman Chrome Luis Pena 1st Bowman HTA Choice /150 Auto #coinsofcanadaWATCH
- $231.98Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Auto /199 1st Prospect Rookie BrewersWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Sapphire Luis Pena Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #/199 BrewersWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Sapphire Luis Pena Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #/199 BrewersWATCH
- $166.992025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #/250 BrewersWATCH
- $600.50💥Luis Pena💥2025 Bowman Chrome Auto Gold Lava Refractor /50🔥readWATCH
- $91.992025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-LP BrewersPASS
- $249.99Graded 2025 Topps Bowman Luis Pena #CPALP Chrome Prospects Autograph PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $255.00Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto SGC 9.5/10 CPA-LP RC Rookie Brewers PeñaNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $304.992025 Bowman Chrome 1st Luis Pena Auto True Refractor 143/499 Brewers PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $356.982025 LUIS PENA 1st Bowman AUTO Purple Ref /250 Chrome Prospect PSA 9 🔥 DNA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1005.952025 Bowman 1st Luis Pena #/75 Yellow Refractor Auto PSA 9 Brewers 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto Orange Refractor 1st /25 Brewers BGS 9.5 GemNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Blue X-Fractor Refractor /150 - PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 1st Bowman * Luis Pena * PSA 9 Green Grass /99 Auto Brewers Top ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $99.992025 Bowman Chrome Luis Pena Auto 1st Prospect Brewers RC CPA-LP RookiePASS
- $139.992025 Bowman Luis Pena Chrome Auto 1ST Bowman Prospect On-Card Auto CPA-LPPASS
- $141.36Luis Pena 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP-38 Brewers Beckett Slab Auto 10!PASS
- $156.002025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto LUIS PENA 1st On Card Auto #CPA-LP - BrewersPASS
- $245.942025 Bowman Luis Pena 1st Chrome Prospect Auto /499 Refractor #CPA-LPPASS
- $335.50Luis Pena Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue X-Fractor 2025 Bowman BrewersPASS
- $508.00Luis Pena Rookie Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor RC Auto SP 316/499 PSA 9PASS
- $4499.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome Luis Pena SUPERFRACTOR Achromatic Auto 1/1 !!!PASS
- —2025 Bowman Luis Pena Auto 1st Chrome #CPA-LP Milwaukee BrewersPASS
- —Luis Pena 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPA-LP - Milwaukee Brewers RookiePASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run