Deal Sniper

Yolfran Castillo

SS · Hub City Spartanburgers · High-A · 19.0y · #2253 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome… at $59.99. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Yolfran Castillo scores 47 out of 100 (#2253 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 5 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    60.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power slipping

    .106 last season to .000 this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to High-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (8th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    5 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 27 on the 20–80 scale (60.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 324/499 Rangers z1

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $59.99

    modeled ~$68.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 315/499 Rangers Raw RC z2

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $59.99

    modeled ~$68.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 132/150 Raw RC z3

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $74.98

    modeled ~$79.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO SPECKLE REFRACTOR 084/299 Raw RC z2

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 12d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $79.97

    modeled ~$36.01

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 019/150 Rangers z1

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $79.99

    modeled ~$74.98

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Mini-Diamond REFRACTOR 074/100 z1

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $129.98

    modeled ~$42.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Yolfran Castillo, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $30.00–$62.99, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $59.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $79.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $149.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +88%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $74.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -50%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $149.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +100%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $799.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +433%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Red Shimmer /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2505.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +213%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 35 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 35 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    27

    bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level

    60.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .800 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 10th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 100% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 10 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -64. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 0th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • young for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

5

AVG

.400

OBP

.400

SLG

.400

OPS

.800

better than 74%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

60.0

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .676 to .800 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Rookie to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.676.800

Power

.106.000

Walks

6.2%0.0%

Strikeouts

20.2%60.0%

Last season, 258 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$59.99
Median ask
$205.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$59.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$59.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 15 cards

  • $149.99Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO True BLUE REFRACTOR 005/150 RC z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $149.99Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO BLUE REFRACTOR 078/150 Rangers z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $159.99Yolfran Castillo PSA 10 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Repti GREEN REFRACTOR /99 z4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $250.00Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD Shimmer /50 PSA 9 RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $255.95Yolfran Castillo 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 9 - 2024 Bowman Chrome Speckle /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $275.45Yolfran Castillo PSA 10 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Gem GREEN Lava /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $320.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Yolfran Castillo Auto PSA 10 GEM MT Rangers ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $354.952024 Bowman Chrome Yolfran Castillo 1st Mini-Diamond Refractor Auto /100 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $505.952024 Bowman Chrome Yolfran Castillo #/250 Purple Refractor Auto PSA 10 Rangers🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $799.97Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect BLACK REFRACTOR 08/10 z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $799.99Yolfran Castillo 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect BLACK REFRACTOR 08/10 z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $2505.00Yolfran Castillo 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPAYC 1st RC Red Shimmer auto 3/5 SGA 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Yolfran Castillo 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle /299 PSA 10 Gem RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st YOLFRAN CASTILLO AUTO PSA 10 Gem 41/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Yellow Auto /75 Texas Rangers - YOLFRAN CASTILLONEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player