Deal Sniper

Vincent Perozo

C · Syracuse Mets · Triple-A · 23.0y · #259 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

71 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

27 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st… at $29.50. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Vincent Perozo scores 71 out of 100 (#259 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 3 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    66.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power: plus-plus

    .334 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 96% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Big power for his level (96th percentile); C sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    3 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 27 on the 20–80 scale (66.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VP — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 18 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.42–2.36midpoint $1.89

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 23 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VP

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 18 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Vincent Perozo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto N.Y. Mets at $25.17, 1232% over the $1.89 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $1.89 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

27 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-VP Vincent Perozo 1st Speckle Auto #'d /299

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1036d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.94

    sold $6.29

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo #CPA-VP 1st Prospect Speckle Auto /299 - P283

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 735d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $6.29

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Mets Purple Auto /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 935d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.00

    modeled $1.11–4.30

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VP

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 49d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $2.95

    sold $1.89

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VP

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 49d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $2.95

    sold $1.89

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VP

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 49d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $2.95

    sold $1.89

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +440%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -12%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 44 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    27

    bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level

    66.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    .334 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.000 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 33th percentile of the cohort, production at the 92th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 99% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 33 and his production sits at 92, a gap of -59. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 1th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

3

AVG

.333

OBP

.333

SLG

.667

OPS

1.000

better than 92%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

66.7

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .754 to 1.000 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.7541.000

Power

.119.334

Walks

11.3%0.0%

Strikeouts

18.9%66.7%

Last season, 222 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
27

27 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.95
Median ask
$6.75
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.95
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$14.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • $2.952023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VPLOTTERY
  • $2.952023 Bowman Chrome 1st Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VPLOTTERY
  • $4.362023 1st Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo Auto #CPA-VP New York MetsLOTTERY
  • $4.752023 1st Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo #CPA-VP Auto LOTTERY
  • $5.122023 VINCENT PEROZO 1st Bowman ⚾ CHROME On CARD AUTO AUTOGRAPH! FREE SHIPPING🏆LOTTERY
  • $6.40Vincent Perozo 🔵2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect #CPA-VP Auto MetsLOTTERY
  • $7.102023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
  • $9.892023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Auto - New York MetsLOTTERY
  • $10.782023 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospects #CPA-VP Vincent Perozo NY Mets Auto RCLOTTERY
  • $10.982023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-VP New York MetsLOTTERY
  • $11.242023 Bowman Chrome VINCENT PEROZO 1st RC On Card AUTO MetsLOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Bowman OC Auto New York Mets #CPA-VPPASS
  • 🔥 Vincent Perozo 🔥 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-VP 1st Rookie Auto New York Mets 🔥PASS
  • VINCENT PEROZO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL METS AUTOPASS
  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME VINCENT PEROZO 1ST AUTOGRAPH METS #CPA-VP AUTOPASS
  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH METS #CPA-VP VINCENT PEROZO AUTO 🔥🔥🔥PASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Bowman Auto Future Star!! 🔥🔥🔥PASS
  • Vincent Perozo 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto # CPA-VP New York MetsPASS
  • Vincent Perozo 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto # CPA-VP New York MetsPASS
  • $25.17Vincent Perozo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto N.Y. MetsPASS
  • $29.502023 Bowman Chrome Vincent Perozo 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-VP PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player