Sammy Hernandez
C · High-A · 22.0y · #174 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
75 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $11.17, over the $8.55–8.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect -… at $11.17. Needs a $4 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Sammy Hernandez scores 75 out of 100 (#174 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $7–11 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Power: plus-plus
.271 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: plus
53 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 91% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (95th percentile); elite speed (91th percentile).
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$6.74–11.24midpoint $8.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 12 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Sammy Hernandez 1st Chrome Auto at $15.75, 75% over the $8.55–8.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $8.55 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $4 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect -… at or under $7.19 delivered.
What is for sale right now
19 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 18 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 12 are under "The whole live market".
Sammy Hernandez Auto /50 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Autograph
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$71.00
modeled $9.71–37.76
PASS
Sammy Hernandez Auto /75 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Autograph
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$61.00
modeled $8.09–31.47
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Hernandez 1st Bowman AUTO CPA-SH
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 138d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $8.55–8.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Hernandez 1st Bowman AUTO CPA-SH
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $8.55–8.99
PASS
2025 BOWMAN CHROME - SAMMY HERNANDEZ 1ST BOWMAN AUTO 🔴⚪️ Cardinals #CPA-SH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 50d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $8.55–8.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Hernandez #CPA-SH 1st Bowman Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 323d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $8.55–8.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.17 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $197.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $197.04 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1664%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $61.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $61.00 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -69%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $71.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $71.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +16%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 63 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 63 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 85% at his level
17.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
.271 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
17.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level
53 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.003 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 89th percentile of the cohort, production at the 97th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 89 and his production sits at 97, a gap of -8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 37th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.9 / 10
- old for High-A
- hitting well — 1.003 OPS in 216 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
216
AVG
.301
OBP
.431
SLG
.572
OPS
1.003
better than 97%
HR
10
SB
19
BB%
17.1
K%
17.6
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .656 to 1.003 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.656▲1.003
Power
.059▲.271
Walks
12.8%▲17.1%
Strikeouts
18.6%▼17.6%
Last season, 360 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 12 not shown above
- Listings
- 19
- Lowest seen
- $11.17
- Median ask
- $15.70
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $11.17
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $61.00
19 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 12 cards
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects CPA-SH Sammy Hernandez 1st Auto Refractor /499PASS
- $197.042025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 210/299 Sammy Hernandez Auto 4k8PASS
- $91.00Sammy Hernandez Auto /25 PSA 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Wave Prospect NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.172025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect - Sammy Hernandez Auto St. Louis CardinalsPASS
- $11.942025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Hernandez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-SHPASS
- $12.002025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Hernandez Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- $13.88SAMMY HERNANDEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-SH Cardinals 1st AutoPASS
- $14.702025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-SH Sammy Hernandez Prospect 1ST AUTO Autograph RC RookiePASS
- $15.702025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-SH Sammy Hernandez Prospect 1st AUTO AutographsPASS
- $15.752025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Sammy Hernandez 1st Chrome AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Sammy Hernandez #CPA-SH CardinalsPASS
- —Sammy Hernandez 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto St Louis CardinalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run