Seth Keener
SP · High-A · 24.0y · #6664 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
13 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
65 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Seth Keener… at $29.58. Player not there yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Seth Keener scores 13 out of 100 (#6664 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Old for the level
-1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-SK — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-SK
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener Chicago White Sox Chrome Prospect Auto at $14.32, 1889% over the $0.72 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $0.72 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
65 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 65 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 59 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Seth Keener Auto Gem Mint PSA 10 White Sox RC
base · PSA 10 · listed 824d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
$29.58
modeled ~$170.05
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Seth Keener 1st Year Mojo Refractor Auto #/150!
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 119d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.08
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Mojo Refractor - 94/150 Seth Keener Auto - CDA-SK
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 147d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.08
PASS
SETH KEENER 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava 1st AUTO /199 White Sox
/199 · raw · condition not stated · listed 50d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled $0.97
PASS
Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Aqua Lava /199 #CDA-SK
/199 · raw · condition not stated · listed 786d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled $0.97
PASS
2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT Seth Keener 1ST AQUA LAVA AUTO /199 #CDA-SK RC Prospect
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 133d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.97
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.48 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +176%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +71%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.4 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market65 listed · 65 eBay-verified · 59 not shown above
- Listings
- 65
- Lowest live
- $2.99
- Median ask
- $6.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.48
65 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 59 cards
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Seth Keener #CDA-SK Aqua Lava Refractor 8/199PASS
- $13.492023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT SETH KEENER CDA-SK 1ST PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO 162/250PASS
- $16.502023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Auto /250PASS
- $5.48Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $5.992023 Bowman Draft - SETH KEENER Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 White SoxPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Seth Keener 35/499PASS
- $2.99Seth Keener Auto 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect #CDA-SK Chicago White SoxPASS
- $2.992023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener Chrome Auto #CDA-SK 1st Bowman RCPASS
- $3.002023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK 1st AutoPASS
- $3.632023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Seth Keener #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $3.632023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Seth Keener #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $3.74Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $4.00Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st AUTO #CDA-SK - Chicago White SoxPASS
- $4.782023 1st Bowman Draft Seth Keener Chrome Auto #CDA-SKPASS
- $4.992023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Chicago White SoxPASS
- $4.992023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener Chrome Auto 1st Bowman #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $5.482023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect 1st Seth Keener #CDA-SK Autograph AutoPASS
- $5.942023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener Chrome 1st Auto #CDA-SK- White Sox - FREE SHIPPINGPASS
- $5.942023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-SK - Chicago White SoxPASS
- $5.99Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Prospect White Sox PASS
- $6.502023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDASK Chicago White SoxPASS
- $6.602023 Seth Keener Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-SK (H1121) $6 MAX SHIPPASS
- $6.752023 Bowman Chrome 1st Seth Keener Auto CDA-SKPASS
- $6.99Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CDA-SKPASS
- $8.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Seth Keener 1st AutoPASS
- $8.952023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect #CDA-SK Seth Keener Auto White SoxPASS
- $9.252023 TOPPS BOWMAN DRAFT SETH KEENER Auto #CDA-SK CHROME 1STPASS
- $10.242023 Bowman Chrome Draft Seth Keener 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- $11.242023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-SK - Chicago White SoxPASS
- $23.072023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Lava Refractor 6/99 Seth Keener Auto 4a7PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Seth Keener CDA-SK Auto 1st BowmanPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Seth Keener Auto #CDA-SK White Sox 1st BowmanPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener Chrome Prospect Auto 1stPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Seth Keener Prospect 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-SK White SoxPASS
- —Seth Keener 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Chrome Prospect Auto 1stPASS
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SETH KEENER WHITE SOXPASS
- —2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Seth Keener #CDA-SK 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-SK Seth Keener 1st Auto White SoxPASS
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SETH KEENER WHITE SOXPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st SETH KEENER #CDA-SK Auto Refractor-White SoxPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-SK DVS 429PASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Seth Keener 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-SK - Chicago White SoxPASS
- $6.252023 Bowman Chrome Seth Keener #CDA-SK Refractor /499 Auto AutographPASS
- $11.562023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 1u5yPASS
- $17.662023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 0qc1PASS
- $4.142023 Bowman Chrome Draft Seth Keener Prospect Auto #CDA-SKPASS
- $4.502023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener Chicago White Sox Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
- $7.072023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto z7dPASS
- $7.082023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 19wdPASS
- $7.262023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 0l44PASS
- $7.482023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 11ebPASS
- $7.542023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 5i5PASS
- $7.602023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto g1kPASS
- $8.112023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 1d9qPASS
- $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 1b75PASS
- $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 16hrPASS
- $9.272023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seth Keener #CDA-SK Auto 1rm3PASS
- $14.322023 Bowman Draft #CDA-SK Seth Keener Chicago White Sox Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run