Miguel Palma
C · Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · Triple-A · 24.0y · #681 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /299 asks $3.95, over the $3.02 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma 1st Yellow… at $36.98. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Miguel Palma scores 62 out of 100 (#681 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Plate discipline: elite
33.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 100% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MP — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.74–1.24midpoint $0.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 9 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MP
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Miguel Palma Astros at $10.98, 1009% over the $0.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $0.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".
Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Red Shimmer Auto /5
/5 · raw · condition not stated · listed 226d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $1.34–5.20
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome - MIGUEL PALMA Bowman 1st Auto #'d/75 Yellow Refractor
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 86d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.00
modeled $0.89–3.47
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma Prospect 1st Auto RC Reptillian Green #73/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 78d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.24
modeled $0.80–3.12
LOTTERY
Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-MP Astros
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 102d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.48
modeled $0.80–3.12
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MP Miguel Palma 1st Auto Green Lava Refractors #/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 169d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.80–3.12
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Miguel Palma #CPA-MP Reptilian Blue Refractor Auto #/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.58
modeled $0.67–2.60
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder13 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.27 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +57%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.95 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -64%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.34, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.34 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +187%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +41%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Reptilian /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.78 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Reptilian Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.58, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.58 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -2%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.72 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -12%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.48 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +29%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.00 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
51
average · better than 53% at his level
22.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
.166 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level
33.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 56% at his level · the result, not a skill
.777 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 56th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 56, a gap of +4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 53th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
9
AVG
.167
OBP
.444
SLG
.333
OPS
.777
better than 56%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
33.3
K%
22.2
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .432 to .777 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.432▲.777
Power
.052▲.166
Walks
12.1%▲33.3%
Strikeouts
22.7%→22.2%
Last season, 66 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
- Listings
- 36
- Lowest live
- $3.95
- Median ask
- $12.65
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.95
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $3.95
36 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 30 cards
- $12.78Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MP 1st Bowman Auto Blue Reptilian 13/150LOTTERY
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma 1st Bowman Auto CPA-MP /150 AstrosPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Miguel Palma Auto HTA Choice Autograph /150PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Miguel Palma True Blue Refractor Auto #/150 #CPA-MP NYYPASS
- —Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Mini Diamond Auto /100 Trading CardPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Miguel Palma 1st Auto HTA Choice #134/150PASS
- $3.95MIGUEL PALMA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 Q6642LOTTERY
- $12.78Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-MP 1st Bowman Auto Speckle Refractor 197/299LOTTERY
- $16.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto Miguel Palma 004/250LOTTERY
- $16.992024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma 1st Bowman Auto True Purple SP #/250 🔥 AstrosLOTTERY
- $31.942024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma Green Refractor Auto /99 PSA 9 🔥Yankees AstrosNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $36.982024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 #CPA-MP PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma 1st Orange Lava Refractor /25 RC AUTO PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.342024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MP Miguel Palma 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250LOTTERY
- $10.982024 Bowman Chrome - MIGUEL PALMA - 1st Prospect Auto - Speckle /299 - ASTROSLOTTERY
- $6.99Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Astros LOTTERY
- $16.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Miguel Palma 364/499LOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Miguel Palma 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-MP Refractor /499 (AU)PASS
- —MIGUEL PALMA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR AUTO /499 Houston AstrosPASS
- $5.272024 Bowman Chrome Miguel Palma Auto 1st #CPA-MP AstrosLOTTERY
- $6.242024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MP Miguel Palma 1st Bowman Autograph AutoLOTTERY
- $9.99MIGUEL PALMA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL AUTO ASTROSLOTTERY
- $10.96Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MP 1st Bowman Auto - Astros ProspectLOTTERY
- $10.982024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Miguel Palma AstrosLOTTERY
- —Miguel Palma 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Houston Astros #CPA-MP 1stPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Miguel Palma #CPA-MP (AU, RC)PASS
- —MIGUEL PALMA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH AUTO PASS
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME MIGUEL PALMA 1ST AUTO AUTOGRAPH #CPA-MP HOUSTON ASTROSPASS
- $12.722024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor /150 Miguel Palma Auto tx9LOTTERY
- $12.722024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 93/499 Miguel Palma #CPA-MP Auto 16s2LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run