Deal Sniper

Connor Foley

SP · Low-A · 23.0y · #6820 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

10 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

49 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Connor Foley scores 10 out of 100 (#6820 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than only 25% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $4.31

    target is $4.47

  • 4 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Age for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Low-A puts him younger than only 25% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CF

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 14md at $17.20, 331% over the $3.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $3.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

49 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 49 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 43 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Connor Foley TRUE Blue Refractor /150 SGC 10 /10

    /150 · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 196d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect - Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 1st Diamondbacks

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 62d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.31

    modeled $3.75–6.52

    LOTTERY

  • Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley #CPA-CF Chrome Auto 1st Bowman

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 68d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $3.75–6.52

    PASS

  • Connor Foley Auto 1st 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect #CPA-CF Diamondbacks

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 183d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $3.75–6.52

    PASS

  • CONNOR FOLEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH DBACKS AUTO Q4292

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 286d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $3.75–6.52

    PASS

  • CONNOR FOLEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH DBACKS AUTO Q4292

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 286d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $3.75–6.52

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $20.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +382%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -13%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.73, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -21%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +75%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.89, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -29%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Unlikely 2.7 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market49 listed · 49 eBay-verified · 43 not shown above
Listings
49

49 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.31
Median ask
$10.82
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.31
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$8.73

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 43 cards

  • $5.75Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CFLOTTERY
  • $5.78Connor Foley 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-CF DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • CONNOR FOLEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-CFPASS
  • $6.24Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-CF DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $6.242024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-CFLOTTERY
  • $6.242024 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Connor Foley AUTO #CPA-CF DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Connor Foley 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 DiamondbacksPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Connor Foley Chrome Auto True Blue Refractor 1st /150 DiamondbacksPASS
  • $10.89Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-CFLOTTERY
  • $11.48Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-CFLOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Connor Foley Purple Refractor Auto 36/250 ARIZONAPASS
  • $8.732024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome ~ Connor Foley ~ Refractor /499 ~ #CPA-CF ~ AutoLOTTERY
  • $9.312024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $9.492024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CF Connor Foley Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1stLOTTERY
  • $10.992024 Bowman Draft Baseball Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 CPA-CF - CONNOR FOLEYLOTTERY
  • $10.99Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refracctor /499 Diamondbacks LOTTERY
  • $11.442024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Connor Foley 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
  • $13.99CONNOR FOLEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 207/499 #CPA-CFLOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-CFPASS
  • $6.82Connor Foley 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Arizona DiamondbacksPASS
  • $8.312024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley Chrome Auto 1st Prospect DiamondbacksPASS
  • $8.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Connor Foley 1st Base Auto Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-CFPASS
  • $9.902024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Connor Foley CPA-CF Diamondbacks RCPASS
  • $10.75Connor Foley 1st Bowman Chrome Auto - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome - #CPA-CFPASS
  • $11.562024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 16zoLOTTERY
  • $13.102024 Bowman Draft Chrome Connor Foley 1st AutoPASS
  • $13.99CONNOR FOLEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-CFPASS
  • $14.982024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CF Connor Foley Chrome Prospect Auto Ref #/499LOTTERY
  • $14.982024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-CF Connor FoleyPASS
  • $15.242024 Bowman Chrome Connor Foley 1st Bowman Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199 #CPA-CFPASS
  • $17.202024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 14mdLOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Connor FoleyPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Connor Foley Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-CFPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Rookie Connor Foley Prospect Auto #CPA-CFPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Connor Foley 1st Auto Aqua Lava Refractor /199PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Connor Foley 1st Base Auto Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-CFPASS
  • $8.062024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 01luPASS
  • $8.122024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 0l44PASS
  • $9.212024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto pe8PASS
  • $11.562024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 09anPASS
  • $17.322024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Connor Foley #CPA-CF Auto 1mc3PASS
  • $18.172024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Connor Foley Auto 05jaPASS
  • $20.762024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Connor Foley Auto 16zoPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player