BJ Murray
3B · Triple-A · 26.0y · #822 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
60 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
10 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
BJ Murray scores 60 out of 100 (#822 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 13.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 78% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Plate discipline: plus
13.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 78% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.193 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 70% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
3B is a position the hobby pays up for; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
OPS improving
.781 last season to .887 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is BJ Murray Jr. 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome /99 Auto Green Atomic Refract 🔥Cubs POP 99 at $39.99, 60% over the $25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/99 at or under $25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
10 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 8 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 2 are under "The whole live market".
BJ Murray Jr. 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome /99 Auto Green Atomic Refract 🔥Cubs POP 99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$39.99
sold $25
PASS
BJ Murray Jr. 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Card 92/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$55.24
modeled ~$44.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
BJ Murray Jr. 2022 1st Bowman Chrome /50 Auto Gold Shimmer Refractr Cubs POP 50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$63.98
modeled ~$61.01
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Chrome B.J. Murray Jr 1st Gold Refractor 44/50 PSA 10 Gem w/ 10 Auto
/50 · PSA 10 · listed 1017d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$299.99
modeled ~$518.76
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Chrome BJ Murray Jr 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-BM
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$19.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Chrome BJ Murray Jr 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 10 SSP CPA-BM 🔥
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 17d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on BJ Murray, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $20.00–$41.99, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $55.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $55.24 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $39.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $39.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $63.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $63.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level
21.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level
.193 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
58
plus · better than 78% at his level
13.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level · the result, not a skill
.887 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 79th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 79, a gap of -15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 25th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.887 OPS in 490 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
490
AVG
.294
OBP
.400
SLG
.487
OPS
.887
better than 79%
HR
14
SB
9
BB%
13.9
K%
21.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .781 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.781▲.887
Power
.176▲.193
Walks
15.5%▼13.9%
Strikeouts
19.2%▲21.0%
Last season, 537 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market10 listed · 10 eBay-verified · 2 not shown above
- Listings
- 10
- Lowest seen
- $39.99
- Median ask
- $59.61
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $39.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $39.99
10 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.
The other 2 cards
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run