Matthew Etzel
LF · Triple-A · 24.0y · #902 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
77 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Matthew Etzel scores 59 out of 100 (#902 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–4 off 2 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Speed: above average
26 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 76% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Plate discipline: above average
12.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 69% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ME — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 51 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.69–3.84midpoint $3.49
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 55 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ME
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 51 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel - Bowman 1st Auto at $19, 444% over the $2.99–3.49 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
77 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 77 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 71 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Base Auto Tampa Bay Rays Rookie RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Player not there yet
—
sold $2.99–3.49
PASS · 28% under
Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Lava /99 Rays
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.99
modeled $2.91–9.67
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel 1st Green Lava Auto #/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$16.20
modeled $2.91–9.67
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Green Lava Auto /99 Rays #CPA-ME
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 197d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $2.91–9.67
PASS
Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 279d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.98
modeled $2.42–8.06
LOTTERY
Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-ME Rays
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 163d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.28
modeled $2.10–6.99
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.18 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.50 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +319%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.25 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -2%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.37, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.37 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +131%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.28 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -52%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +30%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
48
average · better than 42% at his level
24.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
.159 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
12.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
26 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
49
average · better than 48% at his level · the result, not a skill
.745 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 48th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 48, a gap of +13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 68th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
423
AVG
.243
OBP
.343
SLG
.402
OPS
.745
better than 48%
HR
13
SB
18
BB%
12.8
K%
24.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .721 to .745 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.721▲.745
Power
.130▲.159
Walks
16.7%▼12.8%
Strikeouts
25.5%▼24.3%
Last season, 251 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market77 listed · 77 eBay-verified · 71 not shown above
- Listings
- 77
- Lowest live
- $4.18
- Median ask
- $10.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.18
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.99
77 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 71 cards
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Matthew Etzel #/250 PURPLE AUTO #CPA-ME Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $10.99Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Sparkle Speckle /299 Rays LOTTERY
- $17.50Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph 203/299 Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Matthew Etzel /299 Auto 1st Speckle Refractor #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto #/299 RaysPASS
- $11.252025 Bowman Chrome - Matthew Etzel 1st Refractor Auto /499 - TB Rays OFLOTTERY
- $12.742025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Refractor /499 Auto #CPA-ME TB RaysLOTTERY
- $14.00MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REFRACTOR AUTO /499 ROOKIE RCLOTTERY
- $21.612025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Rookie RC Refractor Auto /499 CPA-MELOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Refractor /499 Auto #CPA-ME TB RaysPASS
- —MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME REFRACTOR 1ST ROOKIE AUTO /499 Q3249PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome- Matthew Etzel- 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-MEPASS
- $28.942025 Bowman Chrome Prospects - Matthew Etzel (RC) Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-ME PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME SGC Mint 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $25.372025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 273/299 Matthew Etzel Auto 18bzPASS
- $24.222025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 310/499 Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME Auto 14mdLOTTERY
- $4.182025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- $4.78Matthew Etzel 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- $5.092025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Base Auto Tampa Bay Rays Rookie RCPASS
- $5.452025 Bowman Chrome 1st Matthew Etzel Auto RaysPASS
- $5.702025 Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- $5.992025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- $6.242025 Bowman Chrome MATTHEW ETZEL 1st On Card AUTO RaysPASS
- $6.252025 Bowman Chrome - Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Prospect Auto - TB Rays OFPASS
- $6.35Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-MEPASS
- $6.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-ME MATTHEW ETZEL 1st Prospect RaysPASS
- $6.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-ME MATTHEW ETZEL 1st Prospect RaysPASS
- $6.992025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-ME Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $7.312025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- $7.49MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-ME RAYS Q7240PASS
- $8.282025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Matthew Etzel Auto Tampa Bay Rays #CPA-MEPASS
- $8.69🔥2025 Bowman CHROME AUTOGRAPH Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman⚾️AWESOME ON CARD AUTO!🔥PASS
- $9.502025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Bowman RaysPASS
- $9.992025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Bowman RaysPASS
- $10.892025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME Auto 1st Prospect RaysPASS
- $10.952025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-ME Rays SPPASS
- $10.982025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-ME Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $11.002025 Bowman Chrome Base #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel 1st AUTO Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $11.312025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st On Card Auto #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- $11.88MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Rays 1st AutoPASS
- $11.902025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME Rays (RC, AU)PASS
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-ME Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $12.482025 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto CPA-ME TB Rays - MATTHEW ETZELPASS
- $13.392025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs Matthew Etzel Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- $13.982025 Bowman Chrome Prospects- Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman On Card Auto #CPA-ME (2x)PASS
- $19.002025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel - Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Matthew Etzel CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME (AU, RC)PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel - Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ME Matthew Etzel - Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Prospect Chrome Auto hard signed $1.32 shipPASS
- —Matthew Etzel Auto 1st 2025 Bowman Chrome Bowman #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME On Card Auto 1stPASS
- —MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH RAYS AUTO B5PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-ME RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome MATTHEW ETZEL RC 1st Auto Tampa Bay Rays Prospect LH10PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Auto Rays CPA-MEPASS
- —Matthew Etzel Bowman 1st Auto - 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPA-MEPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel 1st Bowman Auto Tampa Bay Rays CPA-MEPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Auto 1st Bowman TB Rays MLB AU RCPASS
- —Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME | 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On-Card Auto - TB RaysPASS
- —Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —Matthew Etzel 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel #CPA-ME 1st Bowman Auto Tampa Bay Rays PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Matthew Etzel On Card Auto Tampa Bay Rays ProspectPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Matthew Etzel Rays 1st Bowman RC Auto CPA-MEPASS
- —MATTHEW ETZEL 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-ME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT RAYSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run