Blake Burke
1B · Triple-A · 23.0y · #2764 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
36 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Blake Burke 1st…. Priced above value.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Blake Burke scores 47 out of 100 (#2764 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $36–62 off 2 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 50 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Contact: well below
36.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.783 last season to .582 this one.
Power slipping
.114 last season to .072 this one.
Plate discipline: above average
12.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 62% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Triple-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
50 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (36.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$35.99–61.60midpoint $39.99
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-21 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is BLAKE BURKE - 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BB Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Brewers at $75, 87% over the $39.99–56 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $39.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft /71 Blake Burke 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #'d/71 Brewers HOT!
/71 · raw · condition not stated · listed 30d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$289.98
modeled $43.19–172
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke Chrome Prospect Auto Green Refractor 1st #4/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $150
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Blake Burke 1st Green Auto /99 Brewers
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 29d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $38.87–155
PASS
Blake Burke 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire 1st Bowman Green Auto /99! Brewers
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 35d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $38.87–155
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Blake Burke Chrome Auto Green 1st #/99 Brewers
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $38.87–155
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Blake Burke Purple Refractor /250 Brewers
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $28.07–112
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Blake Burke, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $37.50–$78.75, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $75.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $75.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $96.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $96.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $117.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $117.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $245.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $245.17 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +108%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $287.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $287.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $289.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $289.98 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
36.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
40
well below · better than 16% at his level
.072 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
12.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level · the result, not a skill
.582 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 29th percentile of the cohort, production at the 17th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 29 and his production sits at 17, a gap of +12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 66th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
50
AVG
.190
OBP
.320
SLG
.262
OPS
.582
better than 17%
HR
1
SB
0
BB%
12.0
K%
36.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .783 to .582 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.783▼.582
Power
.114▼.072
Walks
12.0%→12.0%
Strikeouts
23.0%▲36.0%
Last season, 408 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
- Listings
- 36
- Lowest seen
- $75.00
- Median ask
- $266.58
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $75.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $96.00
36 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 30 cards
- $96.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Blake Burke Milwaukee Brewers #CPA-BB Auto /499PASS
- $108.002024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BB Blake Burke Chrome Auto RC PSA 9 150877640NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $154.942024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto SGC 9.5/10 💎🔥📈 BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $406.982024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Sapphire Auto 026/199 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $456.002024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Chrome Auto Blue Wave /150 PSA 10 BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $799.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Blake Burke 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 PSA 10 GEM MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2879.71BLAKE BURKE 2024 Bowman DRAFT Sapphire Autograph PSA 10 ORANGE /25 AUTO 1st RC!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Blake Burke Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10 #CPA-BBNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —BLAKE BURKE 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-BB GREEN LAVA /99 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —BLAKE BURKE 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT SAPPHIRE #CPA-BB GOLD /50 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Blake Burke 1st Bowman Auto Draft 2024 PSA 10 #CPA-BB BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Bowman Auto RC PSA 10 #CPA-BBNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke Auto 1st PSA 10 GEM MINT #CPA-BB Milwaukee BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke Auto 1st PSA 10 GEM MINT #CPA-BB Milwaukee BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $287.98Blake Burke 1st Bowman #/150 Blue Refractor Auto CPA-BB (RC) 2024 BrewersPASS
- $305.982024 Bowman Blake Burke 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150 #CPABB BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green #CPA-BB Blake Burke RC Auto /99PASS
- $117.982024 Bowman Draft; Blake Burke; Purple Auto /250; CPA-BB 1st (RC)PASS
- $245.17Blake Burke Bowman 1st Auto Blue /150PASS
- —Blake Burke Bowman 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150PASS
- $100.002024 1st Bowman Draft Blake Burke RC Auto /499 RefractorPASS
- $75.00BLAKE BURKE - 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BB Chrome Auto 1st Prospect BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Blake Burke 1st Chrome Auto Brewers RC CPA-BBPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Edition - Chrome Prospect Auto Blake Burke (RCPASS
- —Blake Burke 2024 1st Bowman Auto Chrome Prospect Autographs Card BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Blake Burke 1st Prospect Rookie Auto #CPA-BB RC SP BrewersPASS
- —Blake Burke 2024 1st Bowman Auto Chrome Prospect Autographs Card BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BB Brewers RC RookiePASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Blake Burke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto BREWERSPASS
- —Blake Burke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto - BrewersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run