Deal Sniper

Shotaro Morii

SS · Low-A · 19.0y · #1323 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

39 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome Signed… at $71.49. Needs a $27 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Shotaro Morii scores 57 out of 100 (#1323 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $52–58 off 4 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    29.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .783 last season to .673 this one.

  • Power: above average

    .138 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 62% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to Low-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$52–58midpoint $56.00

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-22 · 9 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Shotaro Morii 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Kanji Autograph Auto 1st Japanese A’s at $310, 454% over the $52–58 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $52 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $27 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome Signed… at or under $44.80 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.

What is for sale right now

39 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 38 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 32 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii Mojo refractor on card auto

    Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    sold $52–58

    PASS · 11% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • RARE PSA 10 10 POP 3 /50 2025 BOWMAN CHROME SHOTARO MORII 1ST AUTO GOLD SHIMMER

    /50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $741

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman Peanuts Auto /5

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $93.60–244

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome SHOTARO MORII 1st True Blue Refractor RC Auto /150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $381.99

    modeled $120

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Reptilian Blue #CPA-SM Auto /150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 21d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $120

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 9594 Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire #CPSA-SM 1st RC Auto /199 PSA 9

    /199 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $190.99

    modeled $108

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Shotaro Morii, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $35.74–$75.06, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $71.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $71.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $299.99 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +320%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $307.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $307.99 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $324.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $324.99 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Shimmer /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $329.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $329.99 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $305.90 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -7%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    29.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    .138 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    11.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level

    15 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .673 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 47th percentile of the cohort, production at the 44th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 47 and his production sits at 44, a gap of +3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 52th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.6 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

196

AVG

.217

OBP

.318

SLG

.355

OPS

.673

better than 44%

HR

4

SB

5

BB%

11.2

K%

29.6

Is this player getting better?

Down from .783 to .673 OPS, but he moved up to Low-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.783▼.673

Power

.126→.138

Walks

19.1%▼11.2%

Strikeouts

25.0%▲29.6%

Last season, 188 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $215.00 · /250 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 32 not shown above
Listings
39

39 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$71.49
Median ask
$299.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$71.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$190.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 32 cards

  • $305.902025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-SM Shotaro Morii 1st Green Lava Auto #/99PASS
  • $199.252025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor Shotaro Morii Rookie /250 PSA 9PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor Shotaro Morii Rookie /250 PSA 9PASS
  • —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome #’d /299 Shotaro Morii PSA 9 Speckle Refractor Auto (RC)PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Prospect Auto HTA Choice Refractor #/150PASS
  • —Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 AthleticsPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Mini Diamond Auto /100 A’sPASS
  • —#'d/150 Shotaro MORII Auto 2025 1st BOWMAN Chrome BLUE Refractor AUTOGRAPHPASS
  • —Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Blue Lava Refractor Auto 071/150PASS
  • $329.992025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Fuchsia Shimmer REF KANJI AUTO /199 JAPANPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Shotaro Morii 1st Auto /199 Athletics Authentic PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire - Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman Auto /199 - Athletics 🔥PASS
  • $307.99Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Purple /250 CPA-SMPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman Speckle Fractor Auto/299PASS
  • —Shotaro Morii A's 1st Auto Speckle /299 #CPA-SM 2025 Bowman ChromePASS
  • $155.442025 1st Bowman Chrome ~ Shotaro Morii ~ #CPA-SM ~ PSA 9 ~ Auto ~ AthleticsPASS
  • $324.992025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 AthleticsPASS
  • $299.992025 Bowman Chrome - Shotaro Morii #CPA-SM 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 A'sPASS
  • $499.002025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO REFRACTOR SHOTARO MORII 242/499 PSA 10 AUTO 10PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii Blue Auto PSA 10PASS
  • $156.502025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Shotaro Morii #CPA-SM PSA 9 AthleticsPASS
  • $71.49Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome Signed Auto 1st Prospect Rookie AthleticsPASS
  • $80.17Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman Auto 2025 Bowman ChromePASS
  • $279.992025 BOWMAN CHROME SHOTARO MORII 1st BOWMAN AUTOPASS
  • $299.99Shotaro Morii 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto AthleticsPASS
  • $309.99Shotaro Morii 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Kanji Autograph Auto 1st Japanese A’sPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto - Shotaro Morii #CPASM - 1st Auto - Oakland "Read"PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii 1st Bowman Auto CPA-SM ProspectPASS
  • —Shotaro Morii 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Kanji Dual Auto A's Japan Rare 🔥PASS
  • —Shotaro Morii 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Mojo Refractor Kanji Dual Auto Signed...PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Shotaro Morii Auto 1st Bowman CPA-SMPASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now