Deal Sniper

Bo Davidson

CF · Triple-A · 24.0y · #127 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

78 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best /499 asks $95.49 against the $99.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is BO DAVIDSON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st On-Card… at $45.98. Needs a $15 drop.

Our take

Strong prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Bo Davidson scores 78 out of 100 (#127 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $32–41 off 4 confirmed sales.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Contact: plus

    16.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 80% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .214 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 77% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BD — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$32–40.89midpoint $38.99

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 8 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BD

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

/499$95.49delivered

2025 Bowman Chrome - Bo Davidson 1st Auto Refractor /499 — $95.49 delivered, 5% under the $99.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $15 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • BO DAVIDSON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st On-Card… at or under $31.19 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.

What is for sale right now

34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".

  • BO DAVIDSON - 2025 Bowman Chrome - Refractor 1st Auto /499 #CPA-BD Giants

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $99.99

    PASS · 10% under

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Bo Davidson 1st Refractor Auto Autograph 65/499 Giants

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $99.99

    PASS · 6% under

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Bo Davidson 1st Auto Refractor /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $95.49

    sold $99.99

    PASS · 5% under

  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Peanuts Auto 1/5 Bookend SF Giants

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $1,250

    PASS

  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Black Reptilian Auto 10/10 Bookend SF Giants

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $57.60–172

    PASS

  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Wave Auto /25 SF Giants Color Match

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $57.60–172

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Bo Davidson, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $22.99–$48.28, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $45.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $95.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +108%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $321.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +236%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $340.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mini Diamond Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $479.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +41%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 56 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level

    16.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    .214 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 56% at his level

    11.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    20 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .910 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 70th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 70 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -14. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 28th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.910 OPS in 151 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

151

AVG

.305

OBP

.391

SLG

.519

OPS

.910

better than 84%

HR

6

SB

5

BB%

11.3

K%

16.6

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .919 to .910 OPS.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.919.910

Power

.198.214

Walks

14.6%11.3%

Strikeouts

22.1%16.6%

Last season, 335 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
Listings
34

34 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$45.98
Median ask
$208.37
Cheapest 1st auto
$45.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$95.49

Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.

The other 28 cards

  • $479.75BO DAVIDSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST GOLD MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR AUTO /50PASS
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Mini-Diamond Auto /50 SF GiantsPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Bo Davidson Giants Prospect Auto 1st Bowman Green 14/99PASS
  • BO DAVIDSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-BD TRUE GREEN REFRACTOR /99 1ST AUTOPASS
  • $321.25Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Auto Autograph SF Giants 114/150PASS
  • $340.00💥Bo Davidson💥2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st True Blue Refractor /150🔥PASS
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 SF GiantsPASS
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 SF GiantsPASS
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 SF GiantsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Bo Davidson 1st Auto True Blue /150 RC RookiePASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bo Davidson Refractor Auto /499 San Francisco GiantsPASS
  • $612.902025 1st Bowman Chrome * Giants * Bo Davidson PSA 10 Auto Low Pop San FranciscoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $2005.00Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Shimmer Auto 20/25 #CPA-BD, PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 San Francisco GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Reptilian Auto /99 PSA 9 Mint SF GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BD PSA 9 Mint SF GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 PSA 9 SF GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 PSA 9 SF GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 9 MINT #CPA-BD SF GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto /150 Choice Bo Davidson Refractor PSA 9 #CPA-BDNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $45.98BO DAVIDSON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st On-Card Auto #CPA-BD San Francisco GiantsPASS
  • $51.74BO Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BD GiantsPASS
  • $59.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Bo Davidson 1st Bowman Auto Giants CPA-BDPASS
  • $65.95BO DAVIDSON CPA-BD 2025 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTOGRAPH SF GIANTS AUTO PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Bo Davidson 1st Bowman Autograph Giants CPA-BDPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bo Davidson Giants CPA-BD 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Bo Davidson Bowman 1st Prospect Auto Giants #CPA-BDPASS
  • Bo Davidson 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BD Auto 1st Prospect GiantsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player