Julio Zayas
C · Low-A · 20.0y · #1874 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
18 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Julio Zayas 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA… at $56.74. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Julio Zayas scores 51 out of 100 (#1874 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
OPS slipping
.769 last season to .717 this one.
Plate discipline: above average
13.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 61% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Rookie to Low-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JZ — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 10 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JZ
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $5.24 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
18 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 18 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 12 are under "The whole live market".
JULIO ZAYAS 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-JZ
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 614d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.24
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Julio Zayas 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JZ Mets Autograph RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 51d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.24
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Julio Zayas 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JZ Mets Prospect
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.24
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
Julio Zayas 1st Auto Prospect Rookie 2024 Bowman Chrome Card #CPA-JZ Mets
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 525d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.28
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 BOWMAN CHROME JULIO ZAYAS CPA-JZ 1ST PROSPECT REFRACTOR AUTO /499 METS
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 483d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled ~$13.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JZ Julio Zayas 1st HTA Choice Auto #/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 421d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.94
modeled ~$10.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +91%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.49 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -34%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.31 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 57% at his level
24.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
.123 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
13.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 56% at his level · the result, not a skill
.717 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 49th percentile of the cohort, production at the 56th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 49 and his production sits at 56, a gap of -7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 38th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.4 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
387
AVG
.245
OBP
.349
SLG
.368
OPS
.717
better than 56%
HR
9
SB
0
BB%
13.2
K%
24.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .769 to .717 OPS, but he moved up to Low-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.769▼.717
Power
.085▲.123
Walks
12.7%→13.2%
Strikeouts
13.9%▲24.0%
Last season, 173 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market18 listed · 18 eBay-verified · 12 not shown above
- Listings
- 18
- Lowest seen
- $5.24
- Median ask
- $14.24
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.99
18 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 12 cards
- $14.242024 BOWMAN CHROME JULIO ZAYAS ON CARD AUTO 1ST METSLOTTERY
- $14.282024 Bowman Chrome JULIO ZAYAS PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-JZLOTTERY
- $15.312024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 93/150 Julio Zayas Auto 0ju9LOTTERY
- $16.492024 Bowman Chrome Julio Zayas 1st Bowman Speckled Refractor Auto /299 - MetsLOTTERY
- $36.992024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Julio Zayas 1st Gold Mini Diamond /50 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $56.74Julio Zayas 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-JZ PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor 20/100 Julio Zayas Auto 11s9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Julio Zayas Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Julio Zayas Auto #CPA-JZ NY MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Julio Zayas 1st Auto Mets 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Julio Zayas 1st Auto Prospect Rookie Bowman Chrome #CPA-JZNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $16.162024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 39/499 Julio Zayas #CPA-JZ Auto 2a9LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run