Ethan O'Donnell
CF · Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A · 24.0y · #1895 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $3.95 against the $9.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Ethan… at $7.94. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Ethan O'Donnell scores 51 out of 100 (#1895 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Power: well below
.077 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Speed: plus
40 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 91% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
15.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 84% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $7.94
target is $7.99
Listed at your price — $4.50
target is $7.99
4 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-EOD — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-EOD
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$3.95delivered
2023 Bowman Chrome - Ethan O'Donnell 1st Bowman AUTO (RC, AU) — $3.95 delivered, 61% under the $9.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
46 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 45 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 39 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome - Ethan O'Donnell 1st Bowman AUTO (RC, AU)
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 45d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.95
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 61% under
2023 Bowman Draft Ethan Odonnell 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CDAEOD Cincinnati Reds 2
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$4.50
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 55% under
2023 Bowman Draft Ethan Odonnell 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CDAEOD Cincinnati Reds 1
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$4.50
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 55% under
2023 1st Bowman Draft Ethan O'Donnell Chrome Auto #CDA-EOD
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 64d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.78
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 52% under
Ethan O'Donnell 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CDA-EOD Cincinnati Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.00
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 50% under
2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT ETHAN O'DONNELL RC AUTO #CDA-EOD 1ST
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 114d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.36
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 46% under
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +557%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $26.46, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $26.46 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +488%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.77, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.77 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -86%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +198%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
44
below average · better than 27% at his level
27.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
.077 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
15.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level
40 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
44
below average · better than 28% at his level · the result, not a skill
.657 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 55th percentile of the cohort, production at the 28th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 89% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 55 and his production sits at 28, a gap of +27. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 89th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
238
AVG
.226
OBP
.354
SLG
.303
OPS
.657
better than 28%
HR
3
SB
16
BB%
15.1
K%
27.3
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .652 to .657 OPS.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.652→.657
Power
.089→.077
Walks
10.7%▲15.1%
Strikeouts
25.6%▲27.3%
Last season, 503 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 39 not shown above
- Listings
- 46
- Lowest live
- $3.77
- Median ask
- $9.84
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.95
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.24
46 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 39 cards
- $6.442023 Bowman Draft Ethan O'Donnell Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-EOD RedsLOTTERY
- $7.912023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT ETHAN O'DONNELL RC AUTO #CDA-EDO CINCINNATI REDS 1STLOTTERY
- $7.942023 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Ethan O'Donnell 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsLOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan O'Donnell 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan O'Donnell 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan O'Donnell 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan O'Donnell 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsPASS
- —Ethan O'Donnell 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Ethan O'Donnell CDA-EDO Chrome 1st Auto Cincinnati Reds 2PASS
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Rookie Ethan O'Donnell CDA-EODPASS
- $8.942023 Bowman Baseball Draft Ethan O'Donnell Chrome Auto #CDA-EOD 1st ProspectLOTTERY
- $8.002023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Auto 11ifLOTTERY
- —Bowman 2023 Draft Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Reds Chrome Prospect Autographs AutoPASS
- $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Auto 0l44LOTTERY
- $10.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Ethan O'Donnell - Cincinnati RedsLOTTERY
- $9.782023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Auto my8LOTTERY
- $9.842023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Auto 6o3LOTTERY
- $11.102023 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Ethan O'Donnell 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-EOD RedsLOTTERY
- $3.772023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor /199 Ethan O'Donnell AutoLOTTERY
- $11.24ETHAN O'DONNELL 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Purple Refractor Auto #001/250LOTTERY
- $13.99Ethan O'Donnell 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-EOD 1st Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250LOTTERY
- $13.99Ethan O'Donnell 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-EOD 1st Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250LOTTERY
- $13.992023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Ethan O'Donnell Auto Blue /150 #BDC-56LOTTERY
- $25.942023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Ethan O'Donnell Auto 04lqNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.462023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 312/499 Ethan O'Donnell Auto 2s2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.512023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 429/499 Ethan O'Donnell Auto w5pNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.98Ethan O’Donnell 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Refractor Auto PSA 9 Reds MINT /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.572023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 472/499 Ethan O'Donnell Auto 1p3oNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ethan O'Donnell 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Wave Auto #CDA-EOD /150 Reds RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —ETHAN O'DONNELL 2023 Bowman Chrome BLUE REFRACTOR ~ Reds 1st RC AUTO #'d /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Ethan O'Donnell Auto Blue /150 #BDC-56NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ethan O'Donnell 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-EOD 1st Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Ethan O'Donnell 1ST AUTO REFRACTOR /499 #CDA-EODNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Ethan O’Donnell 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 CDA-EODNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —💯 Ethan O’Donnell 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome #BDC-56 Refractor RC-AUTO BGS 10 💯NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan O'Donnell #CDA-EOD Auto 5h0LOTTERY
- $12.092023 Bowman Draft Ethan O'Donnell CDA-EDO Chrome 1st Auto Cincinnati Reds 1LOTTERY
- $16.602023 Ethan O'Donnell Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-EOD (H1149)LOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Ethan O’Donnell 1st Bowman AutoPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run