J.D. Gonzalez
C · Bowling Green Hot Rods · High-A · 20.0y · #2148 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
58 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez Chrome #CPA-JGO… at $8.48. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
J.D. Gonzalez scores 48 out of 100 (#2148 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 98 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Contact: well below
32.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production.
OPS improving
.405 last season to .595 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
98 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (32.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JGO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 33 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 34 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JGO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 33 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.49 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
58 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 58 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 52 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez 1st Auto Pirates
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 13d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.49
modeled ~$12.27
LOTTERY
J.D. Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto #CPA-JGO Padres
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.98
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Autograph Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 40d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.31
modeled ~$12.27
LOTTERY
2024 BOWMAN CHROME J.D. GONZALEZ RC AUTO PADRES 1ST
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 278d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.36
modeled ~$12.27
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez 1st Auto Padres
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 544d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.95
modeled ~$12.27
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Autograph Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 440d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled ~$12.27
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +43%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.48 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +70%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Lunar Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +209%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.74 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.50 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $36.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $36.25 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +107%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.31 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 45 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
32.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
.105 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
9.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
49
average · better than 45% at his level
12 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level · the result, not a skill
.595 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 33th percentile of the cohort, production at the 23th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 33 and his production sits at 23, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
98
AVG
.209
OBP
.281
SLG
.314
OPS
.595
better than 23%
HR
2
SB
2
BB%
9.2
K%
32.7
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .405 to .595 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.405▲.595
Power
.011▲.105
Walks
5.8%▲9.2%
Strikeouts
26.0%▲32.7%
Last season, 104 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market58 listed · 58 eBay-verified · 52 not shown above
- Listings
- 58
- Lowest seen
- $3.49
- Median ask
- $9.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.99
58 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 52 cards
- $6.372024 Bowman Chrome JD Gonzalez 1st Auto Padres #CPA-JGO Autograph FirstLOTTERY
- $6.502024 J.D. Gonzalez 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-JGO San Diego PadresLOTTERY
- $6.992024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PadresLOTTERY
- $7.14JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGO Padres AULOTTERY
- $7.24JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-JGO PadresLOTTERY
- $7.942024 Bowman #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $7.99JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGO 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PadresLOTTERY
- $8.482024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez Chrome #CPA-JGO Auto Refractor 1st /499 PadresLOTTERY
- $8.49JD Gonzalez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 - 2024 Bowman CPA-JGO PadresLOTTERY
- $8.992024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez 1st Prospect Chrome Auto BJJYLOTTERY
- $9.99J.D. Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st Bowman /250 PadresLOTTERY
- $9.99J.D. Gonzalez 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 - 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGOLOTTERY
- $10.502024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez 1st Chrome On Card Auto #CPA-JGO San Diego PadresLOTTERY
- $10.642024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez #CPA-JGO 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299LOTTERY
- $11.982024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez 1st Chrome On Card Auto #CPA-JGO San Diego PadresLOTTERY
- $12.502024 Bowman #CPA-JGO J.D. Gonzalez 1st Bowman Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $12.842024 BOWMAN CHROME JD GONZALEZ *1ST BOWMAN REFRACTOR AUTO #488/499* PADRESLOTTERY
- $12.992024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez AUTO Chrome Refractor /499 Padres 1stLOTTERY
- $13.892024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs J.D. Gonzalez #CPA-JGO AutoLOTTERY
- $16.742024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez 1st HTA Choice Refractor 106/150 SSP AutoLOTTERY
- $17.50J.D. Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph Green 74/99 San Diego PadresLOTTERY
- $21.622024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Lunar Refractor 11/150 JD Gonzalez Auto 3hdLOTTERY
- $30.912024 JD Gonzalez Auto Bowman Purple Chrome /250 #CPA-JGO Padres SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.462024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 JD Gonzalez #CPA-JGO Auto 0w3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.992024 Bowman Chrome Prospects J.D Gonzalez Auto 304/499 Psa 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $36.25JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Shimmer /99 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.312024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor 44/50 JD Gonzalez #CPA-JGO Auto 13dpNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $287.502024 Bowman Sapphire JD Gonzalez 1st Green Auto /99 PSA 10 GEM MINT PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JD Gonzalez Chrome 1st Prospect Auto - 2024 BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman JD Gonzalez Chrome 1st Prospect Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez Padres 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome J.D. GONZALEZ #CPA-JGO Base 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JGO PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman J.D. Gonzalez Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JGO PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman JD Gonzalez Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGO PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-JGO Padres RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. Gonzalez 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 - 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D Gonzalez 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez CPA-JGO 1st Bowman Auto San Diego PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs J.D. Gonzalez #CPA-JGO AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto J.D. Gonzalez #CPA-JGO San Diego PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Green Shimmer Refractor 1st Padres /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. GONZALEZ -2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect- RC Autograph Auto -#CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. GONZALEZ -2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect- RC Autograph Auto -#CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. GONZALEZ -2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect- RC Autograph Auto -#CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-JGO San Diego PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JD Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGO PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome J.D. Gonzalez 1st Auto San Diego PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JD GONZALEZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO PSA 9 Padres 1st CoajgpNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —J.D. Gonzalez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 SGC 9.5 #CPA-JGONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire JD Gonzalez 1st Gold Auto /50 PSA 10 San Diego PadreNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run