Deal Sniper

Brock Jones

CF · Durham Bulls · Triple-A · 25.0y · #2176 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

46 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Brock Jones scores 48 out of 100 (#2176 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (41.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    41.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .751 last season to .658 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .189 last season to .141 this one.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    49 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 94% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (41.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BJ — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 21 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$0.75–1.25midpoint $1.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 21 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BJ

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 21 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is BROCK JONES 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-BJ at $13.99, 1299% over the $1 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $1 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

46 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 45 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 39 are under "The whole live market".

  • Brock Jones 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor /50 Auto Rookie NRMT+

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 776d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $256.20

    modeled $1.08–4.20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman #CPA-BJ Brock Jones 1st Chrome Green Grass Auto #/99 PSA 9

    /99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 322d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $24.45

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman #CPA-BJ Brock Jones 1st Chrome Speckle Auto #/499 PSA 9

    /499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 322d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $24.45

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Brock Jones 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BJ SGC 9.5/10

    base · SGC 9.5 · listed 45d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $25.25

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor Brock Jones 1st #145/499 SGC 10 W/ AUTO 10

    /499 · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 421d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $28.75

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Brock Jones #CPA-BJ SGC 9 MINT Auto 09an

    base · SGC 9 · listed 15d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $30.54

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $2.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Lunar RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +185%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.31 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +80%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $256.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $256.20 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1573%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

17 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level

    41.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    .141 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 57% at his level

    11.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 94% at his level

    49 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .658 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 29th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 82% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 29, a gap of +22. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 82th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.9 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

183

AVG

.201

OBP

.316

SLG

.342

OPS

.658

better than 29%

HR

4

SB

15

BB%

11.5

K%

41.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .751 to .658 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.751▼.658

Power

.189▼.141

Walks

19.8%▼11.5%

Strikeouts

34.4%▲41.5%

Last season, 247 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 39 not shown above
Listings
46

46 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.98
Median ask
$17.26
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$24.45

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 39 cards

  • $31.002023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Brock Jones #CPA-BJ SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $33.752023 Bowman #CPABJ - BROCK JONES - Chrome Prospect - 1st AUTO - PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $35.142023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Brock Jones #CPA-BJ SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 0hk3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.84Brock Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 #CPABJNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.49BROCK JONES 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1st AUTO /499 PSA 9 Refractor RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $41.49PSA 9 Brock Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome Orange Shimmer Refractor AUTO RC /25 TampaNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $63.882023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor /99 Brock Jones PSA 10 Auto 1pq2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $250.00PSA 10 BROCK JONES AUTO 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome BLUE REFRACTOR #/150 RC GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $299.99PSA 10 BROCK JONES AUTO 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome BLUE REFRACTOR #/150 RC GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Brock Jones - 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BJ - SGC 9.5/10 NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Brock Jones Auto Blue Refractor PSA 9 Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —BROCK JONES 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO /499 Psa 9 Refractor Rays 1st Cpa-bj NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Brock Jones /299 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto #CPA-BJPASS
  • $2.98Brock Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-BJ GiantsLOTTERY
  • $2.992023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto Brock Jones #CPA-BJ GiantsLOTTERY
  • $4.782023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Brock Jones #CPA-BJ AutoLOTTERY
  • $4.992023 Bowman Chrome BROCK JONES #CPA-BJ 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
  • $5.752023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Brock Jones #CPA-BJ RaysLOTTERY
  • $7.492023 Bowman Brock Jones CPA-BJ 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rays J1LOTTERY
  • $8.49Brock Jones 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Lunar Crater Refractor AutoLOTTERY
  • $9.202023 Bowman #CPA-BJ Brock Jones 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
  • $9.99Brock Jones Auto Chrome Prospects Autographs 2023 1st Bowman Card Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
  • $9.99Brock Jones 2023 Bowman 1st Draft Base Chrome Auto Tampa Bay Rays CPA-BJ QTY!LOTTERY
  • $11.242023 Bowman Chrome BROCK JONES 1st RC AUTO #CPA-BJ RaysLOTTERY
  • $12.002023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Brock Jones 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BJLOTTERY
  • $13.99BROCK JONES 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-BJLOTTERY
  • —Brock Jones Rookie Auto 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-BJ Prospect Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Brock Jones Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-BJ RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Brock Jones CPA-BJ 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rays J1PASS
  • —Brock Jones 2023 1st Bowman CPA-BJ Chrome Prospect Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Brock Jones CPA-BJ 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rays J1PASS
  • —Brock Jones 2023 1st Bowman CPA-BJ Chrome Prospect Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Brock Jones Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BJ RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Brock Jones #CPA-BJPASS
  • —Brock Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-BJ 1st Bowman RaysPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Brock Jones 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-BJ Tampa Rays 🔥PASS
  • $15.312023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 410/499 Brock Jones #CPA-BJ Auto 2a9LOTTERY
  • $16.172023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 308/499 Brock Jones #CPA-BJ Auto 1j91LOTTERY
  • $17.262023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 95/499 Brock Jones #CPA-BJ Auto 0a6LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now