Curley Martha
SS · Low-A · 19.0y · #2183 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
26 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Curley Martha 1st Orange… at $255. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Curley Martha scores 48 out of 100 (#2183 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
6.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Moved up and held it
Rookie to Low-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.
OPS improving
.250 last season to .486 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CM — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CM
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Curley Martha #CPA-CM Auto 0q21 at $68.78, 330% over the $15.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/150 at or under $15.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
26 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome Curley Martha 1st Orange Shimmer Refractor Auto /25 (D)
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 416d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$255.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Curley Martha 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 030/150 Rangers RC z6
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.42
modeled ~$7.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Curley Martha 1st Mojo Auto /150 Texas Rangers #CPA-CM
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 32d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.99
modeled ~$4.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Curley Martha 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO CHOICE REFRACTOR 030/150 Rangers RC z6
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.40
modeled ~$7.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Curley Martha 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Raywave Refractor Auto /150 RANGERS
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 36d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.99
modeled ~$6.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome - Curley Martha 1st Bowman HTA Choice Auto /150 #CPA-CM
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 70d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$4.21
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.20 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +122%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $68.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $68.78 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +330%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.42 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $256.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $256.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +2142%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 45 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 58% at his level
23.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
.066 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
39
well below · better than 14% at his level
6.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level
8 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
37
well below · better than 10% at his level · the result, not a skill
.486 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 32th percentile of the cohort, production at the 10th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 32 and his production sits at 10, a gap of +22. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.1 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
151
AVG
.175
OBP
.245
SLG
.241
OPS
.486
better than 10%
HR
2
SB
2
BB%
6.6
K%
23.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .250 to .486 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.250▲.486
Power
.000▲.066
Walks
15.4%▼6.6%
Strikeouts
23.1%→23.8%
Last season, 13 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
- Listings
- 26
- Lowest seen
- $7.20
- Median ask
- $15.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $7.20
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.42
26 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 18 cards
- —Curley Martha 1st Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM HTA Choice Refractor Mojo /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Curley Martha 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR /499 Rangers CPA-CM z53NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Curley Martha AUTO 277/499 RANGERSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Curley Martha 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CM Refractor /499 (AU)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.952024 Bowman Chrome Curley Martha Prospect Blue Raywave Auto /150 Rangers PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome-Prospect 1st Auto Curley Martha #CPA-CM Refractor /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.202024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM Curley Martha 1st Chrome Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM Curley Martha 1st Chrome Prospect Auto (B)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM Curley Martha 1st Chrome Prospect Auto (A)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM Curley Martha 1st Chrome Prospect Auto (C)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Curley Martha 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CM 1st RC auto Texas RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Curley Martha 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPACM 1st RC auto Texas Rangers SignedNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Curley Martha #CPA-CMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $35.122024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Curley Martha SGC 9.5 Auto n5hNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $41.94Curley Martha 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.592024 Bowman Chrome Curley Martha Purple Refractor Auto 178/250 No. CPA-CM - SGCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $256.00Curley Martha 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Refractor Auto /25 RangersPASS
- $68.782024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Curley Martha #CPA-CM Auto 0q21PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run