Deal Sniper

Cutter Coffey

3B · Double-A · 22.0y · #2314 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is CUTTER COFFEY 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Cutter Coffey scores 47 out of 100 (#2314 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    34.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .786 last season to .608 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .154 last season to .089 this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

24 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor On Card Auto - Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 81d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Cutter Coffey 1st Bowman Auto B1

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 110d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.49

    modeled ~$8.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Cutter Coffey 1st Chrome Auto /499 Refractor Autograph CDA-CC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 170d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.31

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome - Cutter Coffey 1st Auto Refractor /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 67d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.44

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Cutter Coffey 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Wave /150 Red Sox

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 38d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.99

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Cutter Coffey Auto Blue Refractor /150 PSA 9 Mint CC

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 345d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $34.99

    modeled ~$149.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $56.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +707%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -69%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $57.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +260%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 45 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    34.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    .089 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level

    9.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    13 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    43

    below average · better than 24% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .608 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 32th percentile of the cohort, production at the 24th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 32 and his production sits at 24, a gap of +8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 62th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

329

AVG

.221

OBP

.298

SLG

.310

OPS

.608

better than 24%

HR

3

SB

7

BB%

9.7

K%

34.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .786 to .608 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.786.608

Power

.154.089

Walks

10.7%9.7%

Strikeouts

22.7%34.0%

Last season, 440 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
24

24 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.99
Median ask
$28.82
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • $35.992022 Bowman Draft Chrome Cutter Coffey Purple Refractor 1st Auto /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $105.492022 Bowman Draft Chrome - Cutter Coffey 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $349.99PSA 10 CUTTER COFFEY AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome BLUE REFRACTOR /150 RC GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • CUTTER COFFEY 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO ROOKIE #CDA-CC RED SOXNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome - Cutter Coffey 1st Auto Refractor /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Cutter Coffey Auto 2022 Bowman Chrome Refractor 1st Prospect #BDC-200 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Cutter Coffey Signed Auto 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome # BDC-200 Boston Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Cutter Coffey #CDACC Speckle Refractor Auto #7/71 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $57.572022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 138/150 Cutter Coffey Auto 2s2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $56.422022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor /199 Cutter Coffey Auto 0a98NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $51.822022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 248/250 Cutter Coffey Auto 0vg0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.902023 Bowman Chrome M/B Cutter Coffey Mojo Refractor Auto Dual Grade PSA 9/8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $23.072022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 395/499 Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto 1k9tNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $16.172022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto v3rNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.022022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto 0l44NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.892022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto 0tg5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.822022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto 0w27NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.122022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Cutter Coffey #CDA-CC Auto 0vg0NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player