Deal Sniper

Griffin Burkholder

CF · High-A · 20.0y · #2958 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Griffin Burkholder…. Evidence still thin.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Griffin Burkholder scores 45 out of 100 (#2958 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 84 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .715 last season to .509 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .203 last season to .000 this one.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    71 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    84 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GB — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GB

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Baseball - Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-GB Phillies - GRIFFIN BURKHOLDER at $21.48, 149% over the $8.64 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $8.64 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Griffin Burkholder 1st Bowman Auto Phillies CPA-GB

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $8.64

    PASS · 42% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 🔥 2024 Bowman Chrome Griffin Burkholder Auto Blue Wave /150 PSA 10 Draft 1st

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 524d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $300.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto - Griffin Burkholder Purple /250 PSA 10 GEM

    /250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • GRIFFIN BURKHOLDER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME AUTO #CPAGB /499 PSA 10 PHILLIES

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 8d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    modeled ~$510.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Griffin Burkholder 1st Chrome Auto HTA Choice 55/150 #CPA-GB

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $48.00

    modeled $12.96

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Griffin Burkholder 1st Chrome Auto HTA Choice /150 #CPA-GB

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $12.96

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.48 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • MojoTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $20.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $20.00 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -7%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $41.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $41.48 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +107%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $48.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $48.00 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    26.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    10.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level

    71 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .509 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 14th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 96% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 14, a gap of +34. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 96th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

84

AVG

.188

OBP

.321

SLG

.188

OPS

.509

better than 14%

HR

0

SB

10

BB%

10.7

K%

26.2

Is this player getting better?

Down from .715 to .509 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.715▼.509

Power

.203▼.000

Walks

8.6%▲10.7%

Strikeouts

30.9%▼26.2%

Last season, 81 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$20.00
Median ask
$41.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$20.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$48.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • $20.00Griffin Burkholder MOJO On Card Auto 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Phillies Free ShipLOTTERY
  • $21.482024 Bowman Baseball - Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-GB Phillies - GRIFFIN BURKHOLDERLOTTERY
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Griffin Burkholder 1st Prospect Chrome Auto BJCHRPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Griffin Burkholder #CPA-GB AutoPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Griffin Burkholder #CPA-GB AutoPASS
  • —GRIFFIN BURKHOLDER 2024 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTO Autograph #3PASS
  • —GRIFFIN BURKHOLDER 2024 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTO Autograph #2PASS
  • —GRIFFIN BURKHOLDER 2024 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTO Autograph #1PASS
  • $41.482024 Bowman Draft #CPA-GB Griffin Burkholder Chrome Aqua Refractor Auto /199PASS
  • —Griffin Burkholder 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome C24GB 🔥 Class Auto /250 🔥 PhilliesPASS
  • —Griffin Burkholder 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome C24GB 🔥 Class Auto /250 🔥 PhilliesPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Griffin Burkholder 1st True Gold Auto /50PASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Baseball 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 - GRIFFIN BURKHOLDERPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now