Deal Sniper

Tommy Hawke

CF · High-A · 24.0y · #3370 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Tommy Hawke 1st… at $48. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Tommy Hawke scores 41 out of 100 (#3370 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 62 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 95% at his level.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $4–7 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .078 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .835 last season to .758 this one.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    62 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 95% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-THA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$4.49–7.49midpoint $5.99

Model estimate· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-26 · 4 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-THA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $4.99 costs 0.79× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Tommy Hawke Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st Guardians BH5

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.99

    modeled ~$12.99

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Tommy Hawke 1st Bowman Auto # CDA-THA

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 20d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.30

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Tommy Hawke 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-THA 1st Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 23d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.35

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Tommy Hawke 2023 Bowman 1st Auto Chrome Autograph Cleveland Guardians AU

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.76

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Tommy Hawke 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto #CDA-THA

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 159d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.49

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Tommy Hawke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDATHA Guardians 2

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.50

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.30 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.99 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -21%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $34.57 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +593%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.24 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -53%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 57 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    16.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    .078 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level

    16.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level

    62 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .758 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 72th percentile of the cohort, production at the 63th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 72 and his production sits at 63, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 62th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.2 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

365

AVG

.279

OBP

.401

SLG

.357

OPS

.758

better than 63%

HR

2

SB

38

BB%

16.4

K%

16.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .835 to .758 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.835▼.758

Power

.073→.078

Walks

19.9%▼16.4%

Strikeouts

16.5%→16.7%

Last season, 267 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $5.99 plus $0.00 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
Listings
22

22 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.99
Median ask
$11.87
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$4.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 16 cards

  • $11.502023 Bowman Draft Tommy Hawke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDATHA Guardians 1LOTTERY
  • $11.502023 Bowman Draft Tommy Hawke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDATHA Guardians 3LOTTERY
  • $12.24Tommy Hawke 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2023 Bowman #CDA‑THA Rookie RCLOTTERY
  • $16.242023 Bowman Draft #CDA-THA Tommy Hawke 1st Chrome HTA Auto #/150LOTTERY
  • $30.99Tommy Hawke 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 9 Guardians NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $48.002023 Bowman Chrome Draft Tommy Hawke 1st Rookie Auto Blue Wave 40/150 SGC 10 /10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman chrome Draft Tommy Hawke 1st Auto Refactor Gold /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AQUA REFRACTOR PROSPECT AUTO Tommy Hawke /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Tommy Hawke Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st Guardians BH5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.572023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor /199 Tommy Hawke Auto 1e0wNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Tommy Hawke #CDA-THA Purple Auto /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Tommy Hawke Auto #CDA-THA 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.902023 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect Tommy Hawke Auto #CDA-THA Guardians SGC 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $20.192023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Tommy Hawke #CDA-THA Auto 1p3oLOTTERY
  • —2023 Bowman Draft 1st Tommy Hawke Gold Shimmer /50 Rookie Auto GEM PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tommy Hawke #CDA-THA Auto 1o6rLOTTERY

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now