
Zach Cole
LF · Triple-A · 26.0y · #4588 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Watch
34 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $9.99, over the $0.99 that card has sold in.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, expensive market.
Zach Cole scores 34 out of 100 (#4588 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: moved up and held it — Double-A to Triple-A.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 32 on the 20–80 scale (43.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Contact: bottom of the scale
43.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.868 last season to .508 this one.
Power slipping
.238 last season to .095 this one.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
What the hobby pays up for
26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 32 on the 20–80 scale (43.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ZC — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 13 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.74–1.24midpoint $0.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 13 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ZC
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 13 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 at $300, 9130% over the $3.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $3.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st ZACH COLE AUTO #CPA-ZC Houston Astros
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 29d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
sold $0.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-ZC Houston Astros
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 40d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.00
sold $0.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto # CPA-ZC Houston Astros MLB Zack 1
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 24d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.98
sold $0.99
PASS
2025 BOWMAN CHROME ZACH COLE #CPA-ZC 1ST PROSPECT AUTO AUTOGRAPH ASTROS
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 43d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.49
sold $0.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-ZC Houston Astros
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.35
sold $0.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ZC Zach Cole 1st Prospects Autograph Auto Houston Astros
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 331d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.27
sold $0.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $299.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +2903%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $30.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $30.25 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -90%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $101.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $101.25 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +235%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $289.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $289.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +186%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -77%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $312.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $312.90 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +374%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $254.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $254.99 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $176.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $176.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
32
bottom of the scale · better than 4% at his level
43.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
.095 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
47
average · better than 39% at his level
9.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
52
average · better than 56% at his level
15 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
38
well below · better than 11% at his level · the result, not a skill
.508 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 11th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 11, a gap of +20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 79th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
165
AVG
.158
OBP
.255
SLG
.253
OPS
.508
better than 11%
HR
3
SB
4
BB%
9.7
K%
43.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .868 to .508 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.868▼.508
Power
.238▼.095
Walks
11.8%▼9.7%
Strikeouts
36.3%▲43.0%
Last season, 355 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $9.99
- Median ask
- $83.62
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $9.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $30.25
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- $16.492025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole #CPA-ZC 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
- $17.352025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ZC Zach Cole Auto 1st Prospect AstrosPASS
- $19.882025 Bowman Chrome ZACH COLE Houston Astros Rookie Prospect 1st AutoPASS
- $30.252025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Speckle Auto /299 CPA-ZC Astros QTYPASS
- $65.98ZACH COLE 2025 Bowman Chrome Astros Rookie True Green Refractor Auto /99 clean‼️PASS
- $101.25Zach Cole 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st True Blue Refractor /150 Houston AstrosPASS
- $176.00ZACH COLE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ORANGE SHIMMER AUTO /25 TAG 10PASS
- $254.992025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole Houston Astros 1ST Bowman AUTO Yellow /75PASS
- $255.752025 Bowman Chrome ZACH COLE 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 GEM MTPASS
- $289.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor /99 Zach Cole #CPA-ZC Auto 06z2PASS
- $299.992025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499PASS
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /75 * True Yellow Refractor * Zach Cole Auto Astros ColorPASS
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /99 * Green Lava Refractor * PSA Zach Cole Auto AstrosPASS
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /150 * Blue Reptilian Refractor * PSA Zach Cole AutoPASS
- $335.542025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole Houston Astros 1ST Bowman AUTO Yellow /75PASS
- $8599.002025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Prospect Superfractor Auto 1/1 Authentic - PSAPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Prospect Auto PSA 10 Gem Mint Astros HOUPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Zach Cole Auto Houston Astros CPA-ZCPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 AstrosPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Zach Cole Orange Shimmer Refractor Auto /25 PSA 10PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-ZC Houston AstrosPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st Bowman Auto CPA-ZC AstrosPASS
- —Zach Cole 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ZC 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO - ASTROSPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Zach Cole Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole 1st True Orange Refractor Auto /25 AstrosPASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Zach Cole Auto /299 RC Speckle Refractor CPA-ZC w/ casePASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Zach Cole Houston Astros 1ST Bowman AUTO Yellow /75PASS
- —ZACH COLE 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ZC True Orange Refractor Auto /25 PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run