Deal Sniper

Jimmy Crooks

C · Memphis Redbirds · Triple-A · 25.0y · #355 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

68 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

10 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Jimmy Crooks scores 68 out of 100 (#355 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    29.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus-plus

    .305 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    16.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 91% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JCS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JCS

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

10 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 10 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 4 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autographs #CDA-JCS Jimmy Crooks III RC Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 19d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $10.87–19.23

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Autographs #CDA-JCS Jimmy Crooks III RC Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 5 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    modeled $10.87–19.23

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Jimmy Crooks Auto (AU) PSA Cardinals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    modeled ~$111.75

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Jimmy Crooks III #CDA-JCS 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $19.99

    modeled $10.87–19.23

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Jimmy Crooks III 1st Bowman Auto Teal Lava /199 Cardinals

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 5 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $46.50

    modeled $14.67–25.96

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor Jimmy Crooks III Auto 10c7

    Aqua Lava Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d

    Not a core card · 5 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $63.30

    modeled $10.87–19.23

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jimmy Crooks, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $9.99–$20.99, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.30, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +217%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -27%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $405.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +773%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    29.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    .305 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level

    16.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level

    3 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .979 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 92% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -31. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 8th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.979 OPS in 177 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

177

AVG

.262

OBP

.412

SLG

.567

OPS

.979

better than 91%

HR

13

SB

1

BB%

16.9

K%

29.4

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .778 up to .979 OPS.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.778.979

Power

.167.305

Walks

8.4%16.9%

Strikeouts

26.5%29.4%

Last season, 430 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market10 listed · 10 eBay-verified · 4 not shown above
Listings
10

10 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$19.99
Median ask
$63.30
Cheapest 1st auto
$19.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$405.94

Latest eBay verification: 2 days ago.

The other 4 cards

  • $119.672022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor Jimmy Crooks III Auto 0w27PASS
  • $405.942022 Bowman Chrome Draft Jimmy Crooks 1st Gold Refractor Auto • #CDA-JCS • 12/50PASS
  • JIMMY CROOKS III 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC #CDAJCS - STL CardinalsPASS
  • 2022 1st Bowman Draft AQUA Lava RC AUTO Jimmy Crooks III! Rookie! Autograph /199PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player