Gabriel Gonzalez
RF · Triple-A · 22.0y · #364 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
68 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best Mojo Refractor asks $9.65 against the $13–14.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Gabriel…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Gabriel Gonzalez scores 68 out of 100 (#364 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $12–16 off 2 confirmed sales.
A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
7.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.938 last season to .738 this one.
Contact: above average
17.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 75% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Why now
Listed at your price — $9.65
target is $11.99
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$11.70–16.49midpoint $14.99
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 2 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$9.65delivered
Gabriel Gonzalez AU RC Mojo Refractor 2023 Bowman Chrome #BCMA-GG Mariners Auto — $9.65 delivered, 36% under the $13–14.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
27 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".
Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Chrome Mojo Auto #BCMA-GG PSA 10
Mojo · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 172d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
sold $50
PASS · 40% under
Gabriel Gonzalez AU RC Mojo Refractor 2023 Bowman Chrome #BCMA-GG Mariners Auto
Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$9.65
sold $13–14.99
LOTTERY · 36% under
2023 Bowman Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Blue /150 Mariners PSA 10
/150 · PSA 10 · listed 109d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $75
PASS
2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Gabriel Gonzalez Auto CPA-GG Mariners Twins
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $13–14.99
PASS
GABRIEL GONZALEZ 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-GG SP PSA 10
/499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 129d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $57.50
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st True Gold Auto Refractor /50 Mariners
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 99d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $16.85–55.40
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.65, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.65 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $90.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $90.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +838%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.48 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +239%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $155.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $155.50 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -49%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $275.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $275.94 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +78%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
17.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
.176 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
7.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
1 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
49
average · better than 46% at his level · the result, not a skill
.738 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 46th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 46, a gap of +2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 50th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
428
AVG
.248
OBP
.314
SLG
.424
OPS
.738
better than 46%
HR
15
SB
1
BB%
7.9
K%
17.8
Is this player getting better?
Down from .938 to .738 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.938▼.738
Power
.165→.176
Walks
10.6%▼7.9%
Strikeouts
12.2%▲17.8%
Last season, 246 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
- Listings
- 27
- Lowest live
- $9.65
- Median ask
- $155.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $66.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $66.00
27 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 20 cards
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st True Gold Auto Refractor /50 MarinersPASS
- $275.94Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #CPS-GG Yellow Refractor Auto #/75 SSPPASS
- —2023 Bowman 1st Gabriel Gonzalez Chrome Auto Green Grass /99 GEM MT 10 CPAGGPASS
- $275.002023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Auto Speckle PSA 10 PASS
- —GABRIEL GONZALEZ - 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-GGPASS
- $306.482022 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto Gabriel Gonzalez /99 MarinersPASS
- $90.502023 Bowman Chrome 1st Gabriel Gonzalez True Blue Refractor Auto #/150PASS
- —2023 Bowman Gabriel Gonzalez Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250PASS
- $65.042023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo Gabriel Gonzalez PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 1a7oPASS
- —2023 Bowman Gabriel Gonzalez CPA-GG 1st Blue Crater Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10PASS
- $35.172023 Bowman Chrome - Mojo Auto Gabriel Gonzalez Seattle/Twins Prospect SGC10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $66.002023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $360.002023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 9 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —GABRIEL GONZALEZ 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-GG SP PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-GG PSA 9 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Gabriel Gonzalez #GG AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-GG PSA 9 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $155.502023 Bowman Chrome True Yellow Refractor Auto Gabriel Gonzalez RC 5/75 TWINS!PASS
- $274.202023 Bowman Gabriel Gonzalez 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 10 Rookie CALLED UPPASS
- —2023 BOWMAN GABRIEL GONZALEZ 1st SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 — PSA MINT 9PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run