Deal Sniper

Carson DeMartini

SS · Double-A · 23.0y · #406 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Carson DeMartini Chrome…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Carson DeMartini scores 67 out of 100 (#406 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    48 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 87% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    15.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 85% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CD — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 6 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CD

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Carson DeMartini #CPA-CD Auto 19ot at $23.07, 477% over the $4 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $4 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 CARSON DeMARTINI Bowman Chrome 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 Phillies

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 444d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $354.75

    modeled $8

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Carson DeMartini 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-CD

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $12.48

    modeled $5.20

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Carson DeMartini 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    sold $4

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman 1st Draft Chrome Carson DeMartini Auto #CPA-CD Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.74

    sold $4

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • CARSON DeMARTINI 2024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO 1ST #CPA-CD - PHILLIES

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 213d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.95

    sold $4

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Carson DeMartini 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.00

    sold $4

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.31 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +119%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12.48 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -19%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $354.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $354.75 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2743%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 57 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level

    25.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    58

    plus · better than 78% at his level

    .203 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    60

    plus · better than 85% at his level

    15.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    48 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .855 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 75th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 75 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.855 OPS in 164 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

164

AVG

.268

OBP

.384

SLG

.471

OPS

.855

better than 84%

HR

7

SB

13

BB%

15.2

K%

25.6

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .579 up to .855 OPS.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.579▲.855

Power

.086▲.203

Walks

9.6%▲15.2%

Strikeouts

25.7%→25.6%

Last season, 292 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.99
Median ask
$14.16
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$12.48

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • $17.44Carson DeMartini 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-CD PhilliesLOTTERY
  • —Carson DeMartini 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Phillies #CPA-CDPASS
  • —Carson DeMartini 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-CD PhilliesPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect 1st Autographs Carson DeMartini #CPA-CD AutoPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Carson DeMartini 1st Bowman Auto Phillies CPA-CDPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Carson DeMartini 1st Bowman Auto Phillies CPA-CDPASS
  • $15.312024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 415/499 Carson DeMartini Auto 19ygLOTTERY
  • $46.062024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 28/499 Carson DeMartini Auto yj0PASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Carson DeMartini Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-CD PSA 9 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Carson DeMartini Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-CD PSA 9 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.702024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Carson DeMartini #CPA-CD Auto 8g8LOTTERY
  • $18.182024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Carson DeMartini #CPA-CD Auto 6fsLOTTERY
  • $23.072024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Carson DeMartini #CPA-CD Auto 19otLOTTERY
  • —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Carson DeMartini CPA-CD PSA 9 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now