Deal Sniper

Rosman Verdugo

SS · High-A · 21.0y · #876 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

36 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Rosman Verdugo 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $8.44. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Rosman Verdugo scores 59 out of 100 (#876 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .165 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 67% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 62% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RV — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 13 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 15 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RV

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 13 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.29 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".

  • ROSMAN VERDUGO 2022 Bowman Chrome Autographs ~ Padres 1st RC AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $3.29

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Rosman Verdugo Auto #CPA-RV

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 49d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $3.49

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo 1st Bowman On-Card Auto #CPA-RV

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 63d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $3.73

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Rosman Verdugo 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH RC Padres CPA-RV

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 20d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.44

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo CPA-RV 1st Auto San Diego Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 29d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.59

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo CPA-RV 1st Auto San Diego Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 29d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.59

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.29 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $19.62 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +496%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $40.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $40.31 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +106%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $57.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $57.57 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +43%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $28.52 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -51%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level

    25.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 67% at his level

    .165 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    12.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    13 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .732 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 55th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 55, a gap of +1. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 49th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.9 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

413

AVG

.226

OBP

.341

SLG

.391

OPS

.732

better than 55%

HR

14

SB

9

BB%

12.8

K%

25.7

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .693 up to .732 OPS.

Still at High-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.693▲.732

Power

.149▲.165

Walks

14.7%▼12.8%

Strikeouts

32.2%▼25.7%

Last season, 490 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
Listings
36

36 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.29
Median ask
$22.30
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.29
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$24.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 30 cards

  • $9.592022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo CPA-RV 1st Auto San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $10.48Rosman Verdugo 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH RC Padres CPA-RVLOTTERY
  • $13.98Rosman Verdugo 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Base Auto San Diego Padres RCLOTTERY
  • $13.99ROSMAN VERDUGO 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-RVLOTTERY
  • $19.622022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 74/499 Rosman Verdugo #CPA-RV Auto 1n8aLOTTERY
  • $24.982022 Bowman Chrome ROSMAN VERDUGO Purple Refractor 1st Auto SP /250 Mint PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $28.522022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 4/99 Rosman Verdugo #CPA-RV Auto 3hdNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.002022 Rosman Verdugo Bowman Chrome #CPA-RV 1st On-Card Autograph Auto - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.982022 Bowman Chrome ROSMAN VERDUGO Padres Prospect 1st Auto Gem Mint PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.292022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Rosman Verdugo #CPA-RV SGC 10 GEM Auto 09ouNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.49Rosman Verdugo 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto Padres SGC 9.5 (DA)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.742022 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor 1/299 Rosman Verdugo PSA 9 MINT Auto 0f5tNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.982022 Bowman Chrome ROSMAN VERDUGO Green Refractor 1st Auto SP /99 Mint PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.312022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue RayWave Refractor /150 Rosman Verdugo Auto 15ttNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $57.572022 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 18/150 Rosman Verdugo Auto pe8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $76.542022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Rosman Verdugo PSA 10 Auto 16hzNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Rosman Verdugo 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-RV San Diego PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo 1st Bowman Auto Padres #CPA-RVNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo Auto 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo Base 1st Auto #CPA-RV - PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-RVNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Auto Rosman Verdugo /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-RV ROSMAN VERDUGO PROSP AUTO BLUE RAYWAVE REF/150 SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs #CPA-RV Rosman Verdugo SGC 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —ROSMAN VERDUGO PSA 9 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTOGRAPH AUTO PADRES QTYNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo AUTO - PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Rosman Verdugo Auto SGC 9 San Diego Padres NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 BOWMAN CHROME ROSMAN VERDUGO #CPA-RV 1ST BOWMAN AUTO SGC 10 AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Rosman Verdugo 1st Orange Refractor /25 PSA GEM 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Rosman Verdugo 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto APASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now