Deal Sniper

Braylin Tavera

CF · High-A · 21.0y · #885 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

10 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is BRAYLIN TAVERA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $54.82. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Braylin Tavera scores 59 out of 100 (#885 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (34.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    34.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Speed: plus

    49 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 87% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .175 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (34.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /99 at $16.31 costs 0.66× base, and print run alone suggests 1.80×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

10 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 10 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 4 are under "The whole live market".

  • Braylin Tavera 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Green Shimmer /99 #CPABT

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 70d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.31

    modeled ~$29.00

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Braylin Tavera Chrome Auto Refractor 36/499 1st Prospect Orioles

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 39d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $17.00

    modeled ~$19.99

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Braylin Tavera Chrome Auto Refractor 156/499 1st Prospect Orioles

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 39d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $17.00

    modeled ~$19.99

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Auto 90/250 Braylin Tavera PSA 9 MINT

    /250 · PSA 9 · listed 31d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $20.45

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Braylin Tavera SGC 9.5 Auto 0w9z

    Purple Refractor · SGC 9.5 · listed 21d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $24.79

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 163/250 Braylin Tavera Auto 1j1i

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $26.51

    modeled ~$25.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Braylin Tavera, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.15–$17.13, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $17.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $17.00 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.51, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $26.51 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +56%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.31 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -39%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    40

    well below · better than 16% at his level

    34.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    .175 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    11.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    49 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .749 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 61th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 61, a gap of -4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 42th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

380

AVG

.239

OBP

.335

SLG

.414

OPS

.749

better than 61%

HR

14

SB

31

BB%

11.8

K%

34.5

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .675 to .749 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.675▲.749

Power

.110▲.175

Walks

13.1%▼11.8%

Strikeouts

30.5%▲34.5%

Last season, 443 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market10 listed · 10 eBay-verified · 4 not shown above
Listings
10

10 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.31
Median ask
$22.62
Cheapest 1st auto
$16.31
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.31

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 4 cards

  • $28.852023 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Auto Braylin Tavera Blue Lunar Crater /150 SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $54.82BRAYLIN TAVERA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st REFRACTOR Auto PSA 10 Autograph SP /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Braylin Tavera Balt Orioles Green 1st Refractor Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Braylin Tavera Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor 1st Bowman /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now