Deal Sniper

Coy James

SS · Low-A · 19.0y · #565 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

63 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

33 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Coy James 1st Chrome Auto…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Coy James scores 63 out of 100 (#565 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $18–25 off 4 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 3 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus

    .198 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: plus

    41 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 80% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    3 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CJ — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$18–25midpoint $21.50

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 3 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CJ

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Coy James Auto RC /299 Nationals at $59.08, 91% over the $31 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/299 at or under $31 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

33 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 33 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 27 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Coy James 1st Chrome Auto Autograph Washington Nationals #CPA-CJ

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Player not there yet

    Data staleLast confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $18–25

    PASS · 21% under

  • 2026 Topps 1st Bowman Coy James Blue Auto /150 Washington Nationals #BPA-CJ

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    sold $69.99

    PASS · 64% under

  • Coy James 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 #CPA-CJ

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 32d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $330.98

    modeled $25.92–84

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Gold Lava Refractor Auto /50 CPA-CJ

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 74d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $331.23

    modeled $25.92–84

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Gold Shimmer Coy James #CPA-Cj /50 Hot Rookie

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $25.92–84

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Bowman Gold Auto /50 (on card RC auto)Nationals

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 92d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $25.92–84

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    2 listings watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $59.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +96%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1395.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2263%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $240.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -83%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $124.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -48%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $250.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +100%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $205.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $120.80, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -41%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $130.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Lava Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $331.23, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +153%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $330.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Red Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 56 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    23.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level

    .198 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    12.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level

    41 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .768 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 70th percentile of the cohort, production at the 70th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 70 and his production sits at 70, a gap of 0. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 48th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.7 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

465

AVG

.228

OBP

.342

SLG

.426

OPS

.768

better than 70%

HR

19

SB

32

BB%

12.9

K%

23.7

What his cards have sold for3 logged sales

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Showing 3 of 3 sales
$18.002026-08-252026-08-26

Point at a dot to see that sale.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$18.99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
  • 2026-08-26$18.00 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
  • 2026-08-25$2000.00 · /5 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market33 listed · 33 eBay-verified · 27 not shown above
Listings
33

33 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$30.17
Median ask
$205.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$30.17
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$59.08

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 27 cards

  • 2026 BOWMAN CHROME COY JAMES 1ST BOWMAN GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR AUTO /50PASS
  • $120.80Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Coy James Yellow Auto CPA-CJ 64/75PASS
  • $130.99Coy James 2026 Bowman #CPA-CJ Yellow Refractor Chrome 1st RC Auto /75PASS
  • Coy James /75 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Yellow Xfractor Rookie AutoPASS
  • Coy James 2026 Bowman Chrome Yellow Refractor 1st RC Auto 11/75 Nationals RCPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Bowman Auto /75 GoldPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 Coy James CPA-CJ 1st Auto Green grass /99 NationalsPASS
  • $205.982026 Bowman Chrome 1st COY JAMES Green Shimmer Refractor AUTO /99 Nationals PASS
  • $250.00Coy James First On Print Green Reptilian Auto /99 Bowman Chrome 1st-Top ProspectPASS
  • Coy James 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CJ Green Sapphire Refractor /99PASS
  • Coy James 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Auto True Green Refractor /99 Nationals #CPA-CJPASS
  • Topps 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Coy James Nationals CPA-CJ Green Lava 79/99PASS
  • $240.502026 Bowman Coy James Chrome Auto Mini-Diamond Refractor 1st #/100 NationalsPASS
  • Coy James 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Sapphire /199 NationalsPASS
  • Coy James 2026 1st Bowman Auto Sapphire /199PASS
  • $59.082026 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Coy James Auto RC /299 NationalsPASS
  • $1395.992026 Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Purple Refractor Full Name Auto 001/250 SP NatsPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Coy James CPA-CJ /499 1st Bowman Auto RefractorPASS
  • $124.75COY JAMES 2026 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR 67/99 WASHINGTONPASS
  • Coy James 2026 1st Bowman Auto True Blue /150 #CPA-CJPASS
  • Coy James 2026 1st Bowman Auto True Blue /150 #CPA-CJPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Coy James 1st Mini-Diamond Auto 040/100 Washington NationalsPASS
  • $30.172026 Bowman Coy James 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Nationals CPA-CJPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Coy James Nationals CPA-CJPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Auto True Grass Pattern /99 #CPA-CJ NationalsPASS
  • Bowman Chrome Coy James 1st Bowman Auto Serial #52/99 Washington NationalsPASS
  • 2026 Coy James 1st Bowman on-card Auto Prospect #BPA-CJ NationalsPASS

Worth reading for this player