Daniel Guilarte
SS · Double-A · 22.0y · #922 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
52 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Daniel Guilarte 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $66.25. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Daniel Guilarte scores 59 out of 100 (#922 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 57 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Speed: below average
11 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus
17.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 86% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.183 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 72% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
57 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 31 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 31 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 31 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.00 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
52 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DGE
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 84d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.00
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Daniel Guilarte #CPA-DGE
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.78
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto Prospect Milwaukee Brewers MINT!!!
base · raw · takes offers · listed 674d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.01
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DGE Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 332d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect #CPA-DGE Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 370d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Auto #CPA-DGE Brewers 1st
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 903d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +117%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.01, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.01 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +100%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.24 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -29%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
17.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
.183 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
12.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill
.653 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 66th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 95% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 66 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 95th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
57
AVG
.184
OBP
.286
SLG
.367
OPS
.653
better than 33%
HR
2
SB
1
BB%
12.3
K%
17.5
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market52 listed · 52 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
- Listings
- 52
- Lowest live
- $3.00
- Median ask
- $8.05
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.50
52 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 46 cards
- $6.242023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto Autograph Prospect Brewers CPA-DGELOTTERY
- $6.312023 Bowman Chrome DANIEL GUILARTE 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DGE Milwaukee BrewersLOTTERY
- $6.312023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Auto 1st Prospect BrewersLOTTERY
- $6.502023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-DGELOTTERY
- $6.502023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-DGELOTTERY
- $6.682023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto Autograph Prospect Brewers CPA-DGELOTTERY
- $7.20Daniel Guilarte - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph - ON-CARD AUTOLOTTERY
- $7.242023 Bowman Chrome 1st Daniel Guilarte Auto Milwaukee Brewers #DGELOTTERY
- $7.25Daniel Guilarte 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-DGELOTTERY
- $7.492023 Daniel Guilarte Auto 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-DGE Milwaukee Brewers ProspectLOTTERY
- $7.98DANIEL GUILARTE 2023 Bowman Chrome On-Card Auto 1st Purple Refractor 070/250LOTTERY
- $8.502023 Topps 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Daniel Guilarte #CPA-DGE Milwaukee BrewersLOTTERY
- $8.602023 Daniel Guilarte Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-DGE (H1122)LOTTERY
- $8.90DANIEL GUILARTE 2023 Bowman Chrome On-Card Auto 1st Purple Refractor /250LOTTERY
- $9.242022 Bowman Chrome DANIEL GUILARTE 1st RC Purple AUTO 153/250 BrewersLOTTERY
- $9.992023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Daniel Guilarte Auto Brewers #BCP-21 1st CardLOTTERY
- $12.102023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Refractor Auto 296/499LOTTERY
- $13.012023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 185/299 Daniel Guilarte Auto 0co5LOTTERY
- $13.99DANIEL GUILARTE 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-DGELOTTERY
- $14.392023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DGE Daniel Guilarte 1st /299 Auto Speckle RefractorLOTTERY
- $16.972023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Daniel Guilarte Auto 2p7LOTTERY
- $19.45Daniel Guilarte - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph - REFRACTOR AUTO /499LOTTERY
- $25.99Daniel Guilarte 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle /299 SGC 10/10 Brewers NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.532023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Daniel Guilarte SGC 10 Auto 10noNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $66.25Daniel Guilarte 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Green Auto /99 PSA 10 CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- $806.002023 Bowman Chrome 1st SUPERFRACTOR Auto 1/1 Daniel Guilarte CPA-DGA PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte CPA-DGE Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DGE BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Daniel Guilarte Milwaukee Brewers CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DGE BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —DANIEL GUILARTE 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO AUTOGRAPH Brewers #CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DGE DG2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —DANIEL GUILARTE 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st auto Daniel Guilarte BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-DGE BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect #CPA-DGE Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome DANIEL GUILARTE 1st Bowman AUTO #CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte Prospect 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-DGE BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Daniel Guilarte 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph - REFRACTOR AUTO /499 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Auto Prospect Brewers CPA-DGENEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Daniel Guilarte 1st Bowman AUTO Refractor /499 PSA 9 MINT NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Daniel Guilarte Auto 1/99 SGC 10 CPA-DGE FOPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.122023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 6/499 Daniel Guilarte #CPA-DGE Auto 8g8LOTTERY
- $8.692023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 239/499 Daniel Guilarte #CPA-DGE Auto 5y7LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run