Matt Wilkinson
SP · Sacramento River Cats · Triple-A · 23.0y · #1034 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /75 asks $91.48, over the $79.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Matt Wilkinson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $19.99. Player not there yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Matt Wilkinson scores 57 out of 100 (#1034 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $20–23 off 8 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MW — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$19.99–22.50midpoint $20.00
Confirmed· 8 salesmost recent 2026-08-25 · 9 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MW
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$19.99delivered
Matt Wilkinson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On-Card Autograph Auto! Guardians — $19.99 delivered, 0% under the $19.99–22.50 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Needs a $4 drop
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
52 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".
MATT WILKINSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME YELLOW REFRACTOR 1ST TUGBOAT AUTO 13/75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $99
PASS
2025 Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto “Tugboat” #CPA-MW Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $19.99–22.50
PASS · 3% under
Matt Wilkinson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On-Card Autograph Auto! Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
$19.99
sold $19.99–22.50
LOTTERY · 0% under
2025 bowman Chrome 1st Matt Wilkinson Auto paper
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $19.99–22.50
PASS
MATT WILKINSON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH CHOICE HTA AUTO /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $33.99–43
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Matt Wilkinson 1st Seeds /5 PSA 9 SSP
/5 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $511
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Matt Wilkinson, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $9.99–$20.99, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder14 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $47.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $47.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +140%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $53.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $53.20 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $59.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $59.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $86.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $86.45 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +44%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $59.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $59.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $115.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $115.98 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +97%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $145.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $145.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $91.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $91.48 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $205.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $205.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +124%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $279.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $279.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $420.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $420.00 live
- Scarcity
- 10 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $315.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $315.98 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1499.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1499.99 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +375%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.7 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $20.00 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market52 listed · 52 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
- Listings
- 52
- Lowest live
- $19.99
- Median ask
- $103.73
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $19.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $53.20
52 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 46 cards
- $91.48Matt Wilkinson 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Yellow /75 #CPA-MW GuardiansPASS
- $420.002025 1st Bowman Chrome BLACK RC AUTO Matt Wilkinson! Tugboat! Autograph /10PASS
- $468.002025 1st Bowman Chrome BLACK RC AUTO Matt Wilkinson! Tugboat! Autograph /10PASS
- $205.002025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Matt Wilkinson Gold Shimmer /50 Giants Call Up!PASS
- $279.99MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome TRUE GOLD Auto /50 SF Giants RC📈📈🔥HOT🔥PASS
- $22.992025 Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto “Tugboat” #CPA-MW GiantsLOTTERY
- $145.002025 Bowman Chrome Matt Wilkinson 1st Prospect Green Refractor /99 Auto Call Up!PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Matt Wilkinson #CPA-MW Green Grass Refractor Auto 79/99PASS
- —2025 Bowman Matt Wilkinson Chrome Auto Reptilian 1st Green Refractor /99 CPA-MWPASS
- —2025 Bowman Matt Wilkinson Chrome Auto Green Grass Refractor 1st #/99 🔥🔥PASS
- —2025 Bowman CPA-MW Matt Wilkinson Chrome Auto Reptilian 1st Green Refractor /99PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Matt Wilkinson 1st Prospect Green Refractor /99 Auto Call Up!PASS
- —2025 Bowman Matt Wilkinson Chrome Auto Green Shimmer Refractor 1st /99 Tugboat!PASS
- $255.99MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st HTA MOJO Auto /150 Giants RC📈 💎PSA 10💎🔥HOT🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $255.99MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st TRUE BLUE Auto /150 Giants RC📈 💎PSA 10💎🔥HOT🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $349.992025 MATT WILKINSON /99 POP 1 Auto Bowman 1st Chrome #CPA-MW Green Grass PSA 10 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $411.95MATT WILKINSON PSA 10 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue X-fractor Auto #CPAMW 93/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $799.992025 Matt Wilkinson Bowman 1st Chrome Orange Wave Refractor Auto 14/25 - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Orange Wave /25 Auto Matt Wilkinson- PSA9 Mint. Tugboat🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $59.00Matt Wilkinson 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MW Blue X-Fractor 1st RC Auto /150PASS
- —2025 Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Purple SN/250 #CPA-MW **MLB DebutPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1ST RC Matt Wilkinson Auto Purple /250 CPA-MW Tugboat!🔥🔥PASS
- $53.202025 1st Bowman Chrome SPECKLE RC AUTO Matt Wilkinson! Tugboat! Autograph /299PASS
- $59.282025 1st Bowman Chrome SPECKLE RC AUTO Matt Wilkinson! Tugboat! Autograph /299PASS
- $59.98Matt Wilkinson 1st auto #d /299 - 2025 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Giants RCPASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome SPECKLE RC AUTO Matt Wilkinson! Tugboat! Autograph /299PASS
- —Matt Wilkinson 1st auto #d /299 - 2025 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Giants RCPASS
- —2024 Topps Bowman Chrome Matt Wilkinson Bowman 1st Speckle /299 Auto 🔥🔥 CPA-MWPASS
- $54.98MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st REFRACTOR AUTO /499 Giants RC 📈📈 🔥HOT🔥PASS
- —2025 Bowman - Matt Wilkinson #CPA-MW Orange Shimmer Auto /25 1st BowmanPASS
- $86.452025 Bowman Matt Wilkinson 1st True Purple Auto 216/250 #CPA-MW ClevelandPASS
- —MATT WILKINSON 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-MW TRUE GOLD REFRACTOR /50 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Auto Matt Wilkinson Speckle Refractor /299 PASS
- $47.982025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Matt Wilkinson Refractor Auto Tugboat /499PASS
- $115.98MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st💎MINI DIAMOND💎Auto /100 Giants RC 📈📈 🔥HOT🔥PASS
- $315.98MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st🍊ORANGE SHIMMER🍊Auto 25/25😱eBay 1/1😱Giants RC!PASS
- —Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman True Gold Auto /50PASS
- —Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Auto Pearl /10PASS
- —2025 Bowman Bowman 1st Matt Wilkinson Auto /150 Hta Choice Guardians/GiantsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Bowman 1st Matt Wilkinson True Purple Auto /250 Guardians/GiantsPASS
- $24.002025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Matt Wilkinson #CPA-MW GiantsPASS
- $35.992025 Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto “Tugboat” #CPA-MW Giants Call UpPASS
- $50.00Matt Wilkinson Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman Guardians #CPA-MWPASS
- $1499.99MATT WILKINSON 2025 Bowman 1st🔥FIREFRACTOR FIRE AUTO🔥1/3 SSP Rare RC😱eBay 1/1PASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-MW GuardiansPASS
- —2025 Matt Wilkinson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto “Tugboat” #CPA-MW GiantsPASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run