Ethan Holliday
SS · Fresno Grizzlies · Low-A · 19.0y · #75 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
81 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /99 asks $454, over the $340 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday 1st…. Priced above value.
Our take
Strong prospect, expensive market.
Ethan Holliday scores 81 out of 100 (#75 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Speed: below average
4 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Power: plus-plus
.295 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 96% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
15.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 74% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (96th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect CPA-EH Rockies at $308, 186% over the $104–204 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $104 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
55 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 55 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 49 are under "The whole live market".
Ethan Holliday 2026 Paper 1st Bowman Auto Colorado Rockies Prospect BPA-EH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
—
sold $104–204
PASS · 7% under
2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Green Mojo Refractor Auto /99 RC Rookie 1st
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$295.98
modeled $187–366
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Ethan Holliday Green Refractor Auto 1st /99 Rockies
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$550.00
modeled $187–366
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Ethan Holliday Green Refractor Auto 1st /99 Rockies
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$600.17
modeled $187–366
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome ETHAN HOLLIDAY 1st Auto TRUE GREEN Refractor /99 Rockies
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$650.00
modeled $187–366
PASS
Topps 2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday #CPA-EH 1st Bowman Chrome True Green Auto /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $187–366
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ethan Holliday, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.97Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.99Watch
- Walker Jenkinsbase$147.98Watch
Compared within $74.94–$157.36, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $185.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $185.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $149.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $149.87 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $350.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $350.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +134%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Mojo /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $235.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $235.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $656.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $656.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +178%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $453.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $453.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Mojo Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $295.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $295.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -35%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $550.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $550.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +86%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $650.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $650.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $550.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $654.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $654.49 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
28.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level
.295 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
15.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 26% at his level
4 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill
.952 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 94% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 6th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.9 / 10
- hitting well — 0.952 OPS in 152 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
152
AVG
.262
OBP
.395
SLG
.557
OPS
.952
better than 91%
HR
9
SB
1
BB%
15.1
K%
28.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .737 up to .952 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.737▲.952
Power
.141▲.295
Walks
14.3%→15.1%
Strikeouts
39.3%▼28.3%
Last season, 84 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $2000.00 · /25 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market55 listed · 55 eBay-verified · 49 not shown above
- Listings
- 55
- Lowest live
- $149.87
- Median ask
- $402.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $185.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $235.98
55 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 49 cards
- —2026 1st Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Green Reptilian /99 AutoPASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Pacfractor Auto /89 CPA‑EH Col. RockiesPASS
- —Topps Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday 1st Auto Green /99 CPA-EHPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome ETHAN HOLLIDAY 1st Auto TRUE GREEN Refractor /99 RockiesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Ethan Holliday Rockies 1st Bowman Auto BSPA-EH /50PASS
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 1st Ethan Holliday Rockies Auto CPA-EH Aqua 103/125PASS
- —2026 1st Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome Auto TRUE BLUE Prospect Rockies /150PASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome Auto Blue X Fractor 1st Prospect /150 RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday True Purple 1st Auto /250 Rockies Color MatchPASS
- $453.99Ethan Holliday 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Green Grass Refractor On Card Auto /99PASS
- —2026 Topps Bowman - Ethan Holliday - BPA-EH 1st Bowman Auto RC - RockiesPASS
- $235.98Ethan Holliday 2026 Bowman PURPLE MOJO COLOR MATCH 1st On Card Auto /199 RockiesPASS
- $255.98Ethan Holliday 2026 Bowman PURPLE MOJO COLOR MATCH 1st On Card Auto /199 RockiesPASS
- $550.002026 ETHAN HOLLIDAY Bowman Paper Auto Orange /25 #BPA-EH 1st Bowman RC RockiesPASS
- $654.492026 Bowman Ethan Holliday #BST-11 Sterling Auto Chrome Orange Refractor #/25PASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Purple Paper Auto /250 COLOR MATCH🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Purple Paper Auto /250 COLOR MATCH🔥PASS
- —ETHAN HOLLIDAY 2026 BOWMAN #CPA-EH REPTILIAN GREEN REFRACTOR /99 1ST AUTOPASS
- $656.002026 Bowman Ethan Holliday HTA Choice Variation 1st Bowman Auto Redemption /150PASS
- $304.492026 Bowman ETHAN HOLLIDAY 1st RC Purple AUTO 03/250 #BPA-EH RockiesPASS
- $461.992026 Bowman Ethan Holliday 1st Chrome Auto Blue X-Fractor /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1255.572026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Ethan Holliday Speckle Refractor /299 BGS 9.5 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $149.87Ethan Holliday AUTO Mojo Refractor #BMA-EH 2026 Bowman Chrome Colorado RockiesPASS
- $185.00ETHAN HOLLIDAY 2026 Bowman 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO Rookie CardPASS
- $294.942026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Mojo Refractor Auto + 2026 Bowman Chrome 1stPASS
- $304.002026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Rookie Auto - Colorado RockiesPASS
- $307.802026 Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect CPA-EH Rockies PASS
- $350.002026 Bowman Chrome - Ethan Holliday - 1st Bowman - Refractor Auto 239/499PASS
- $576.74Ethan Holliday 2022 Topps 1st Bowman Auto On Card Colorado RockiesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Auto CPA-EH RockiesPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Ethan Holliday Auto CPA-EH RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman 1st Chrome Ethan Holliday Chrome On Card Auto CPA-EH RCPASS
- —Ethan Holliday 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-EH RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Chrome 1st On Card Auto CPA-EH RCPASS
- —ETHAN HOLLIDAY 2026 BOWMAN #CPA-EH CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ROCKIESPASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-EH Rockies 🟣⚫️PASS
- —Ethan Holliday 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor RC Auto 481/499 RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Auto 399/499 Refractor 1st RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome - Ethan Holliday - 1st Bowman - Refractor Auto 307/499PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - 1st Bowman Ethan Holliday Rockies Auto #CPA-EHPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospects Ethan Holliday 1st Refractor Auto CPA-EH /499PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-EH RockiesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome 1st Bowman Auto 🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Ethan Holliday Auto #CPA-EH 1st BowmanPASS
- —Ethan Holliday Bowman Chrome 2026 1st Bowman Auto CPA-EHPASS
- —ETHAN HOLLIDAY 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO ON CARD #CPA-EH Colorado RockiesPASS
- —ETHAN HOLLIDAY 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO ON CARD Colorado Rockies CPA-EH 🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Ethan Holliday Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman Rockies RC(send offerPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run