Deal Sniper

Brady Ebel

SS · High-A · 19.0y · #519 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

64 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-BE Brady Ebel…. Priced above value.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Brady Ebel scores 64 out of 100 (#519 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $30–50 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 28 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Plate discipline: plus

    17.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 88% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    28 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BE — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$30–50midpoint $40.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 3 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BE

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 417/499 Brady Ebel #CPA-BE Auto 1hw7 at $125, 39% over the $90 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $90 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-BE Brady Ebel 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    sold $40–47

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-BE Brady Ebel 1st Chrome Gold Wave Auto /50 Brewers

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $43.20–168

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Brady Ebel 2025 1st Bowman Auto Green Sapphire 01/99 Au Rc Brewers Bookend

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $205

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150 1st Brewers

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 218d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $296.49

    modeled $27–105

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Brady Ebel Yellow Refractor Auto /75 Dual PSA 10/10

    /75 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 2d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $906.94

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel 1st Chrome Orange Refractor Auto /25 PSA 9

    /25 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 7d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $1499.99

    modeled ~$1040.88

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Brady Ebel, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $62.49–$131.24, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $124.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $124.99 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $296.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $296.49 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +137%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    25.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    .130 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    62

    plus · better than 88% at his level

    17.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .625 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, production at the 30th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 87% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 54 and his production sits at 30, a gap of +24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 87th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • young for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

28

AVG

.174

OBP

.321

SLG

.304

OPS

.625

better than 30%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

17.9

K%

25.0

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .592 to .625 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.592▲.625

Power

.018▲.130

Walks

9.1%▲17.9%

Strikeouts

25.8%→25.0%

Last season, 66 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25 — $35.00 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
Listings
14

14 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$124.99
Median ask
$601.72
Cheapest 1st auto
$296.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$296.49

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 8 cards

  • —PSA 9 2025 Brady Ebel 1st Bowman Chrome Yellow Refractor Auto /75 #CPA-BENEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel 1st True Gold Refractor Auto /50 PSA 10 BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel Chrome Auto Orange Wave Refractor 1st #/25 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-BE BrewersPASS
  • $124.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 417/499 Brady Ebel #CPA-BE Auto 1hw7PASS
  • —Brady Ebel 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-BE Brewers 1st Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel 1st Chrome Auto CPA-BE BrewersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Brady Ebel Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 *Brewers*PASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now