Deal Sniper

DJ Layton

SS · High-A · 20.0y · #510 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

64 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

29 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

DJ Layton scores 64 out of 100 (#510 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $4–7 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    30.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Speed: elite

    98 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 100% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to High-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    25.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 98% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 17 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$4.13–6.88midpoint $5.50

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 18 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 17 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is DJ Layton (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Baltimore Orioles Free Shipping NICE! at $20, 264% over the $5.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $5.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

29 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 29 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 23 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman DJ Layton Orioles Auto #CPA-DL Orioles

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 20d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $5.50

    PASS · 9% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • DJ Layton 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Red Wave Refractor Auto /5 Orioles HOT 🔥📈

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $7.43–28.87

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman DJ Layton 1st Bowman True Orange Refractor Auto /25 Orioles PSA 9

    /25 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 114d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 DJ Layton #CPA-DL

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $13

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • DJ Layton 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Mini-Diamond Refractor Auto /100 #CPA-DL

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $3.71–14.44

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • DJ Layton /100 1st Auto Mini-Diamond - 2025 Bowman Chrome - Orioles #CPA-DL

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 16d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $3.71–14.44

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.00 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.74 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +11%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $25.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $25.94 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +235%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $51.82 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +100%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 61 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 61 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 28% at his level

    30.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    .125 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level

    25.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    98 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    58

    plus · better than 78% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .817 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 78th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 78, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

43

AVG

.250

OBP

.442

SLG

.375

OPS

.817

better than 78%

HR

1

SB

7

BB%

25.6

K%

30.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .597 to .817 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Rookie to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.597▲.817

Power

.048▲.125

Walks

18.5%▲25.6%

Strikeouts

27.4%▲30.2%

Last season, 135 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market29 listed · 29 eBay-verified · 23 not shown above
Listings
29

29 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.00
Median ask
$15.70
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
—

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 23 cards

  • —DJ LAYTON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REFRACTOR AUTO /499 CPA-DL OriolesPASS
  • $7.00Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman DJ Layton Orioles Auto #CPA-DLLOTTERY
  • $7.742025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton 1st Auto Refractor & 1st Lazer Refractor #CPA-DL RCLOTTERY
  • $12.452025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto DJ LAYTON #CPA-DL Baltimore Orioles SPLOTTERY
  • $14.94DJ LAYTON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH ORIOLES AUTO Q1449LOTTERY
  • $15.702025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton Prospect 1ST AUTO Autograph RC Rookie ORIOLESLOTTERY
  • $16.312025 Bowman Chrome 1st DJ Layton Base Auto #CPA-DL OriolesLOTTERY
  • $20.00DJ Layton (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Baltimore Orioles Free Shipping NICE!LOTTERY
  • —Topps Bowman Chrome 2018 DJ Layton 1st Bowman Auto Prospect Autographs CPA-DLPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft DJ Layton 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Orioles #CPA-DLPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DL OriolesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Dj Layton #CPA-DL 1st Bowman Auto PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • —DJ LAYTON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ON CARD AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL ORIOLES AUTOPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton 1st Bowman Auto #BCP-252 OriolesPASS
  • —DJ Layton 2025 Bowman Chrome - 1st Chrome On-Card Auto #CPA-DL - OriolesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DL Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DL OriolesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st DJ Layton Base Auto #CPA-DL OriolesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome DJ Layton Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DL OriolesPASS
  • —DJ LAYTON 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-DL AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ORIOLESPASS
  • $51.822025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 150/150 DJ Layton #CPA-DL Auto 1b03PASS
  • $25.942025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 DJ Layton #CPA-DL Auto 1b03PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now