Cole Mathis
3B · Brooklyn Cyclones · High-A · 23.0y · #1681 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
53 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
12 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Cole…. Priced above value.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Cole Mathis scores 53 out of 100 (#1681 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .215 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.215 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
15.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 78% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
3B is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Mathis #CPA-CMS Auto v8j at $33.42, 414% over the $1.25–7.63 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
12 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 12 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 6 are under "The whole live market".
COLE MATHIS 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CPA-CMS SPARKLES REFRACTOR /71 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEM
/71 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Cole Mathis 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire #CPA-CMS First (1st) AUTO Green [#96/99]
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 127d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$304.75
modeled $2.25–13.73
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Cole Mathis 1st Auto Gold Wave /50 CUBS RC PSA 10 💎
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 24d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman CHROME Prospect 1st Cole Mathis True Blue Refractor Auto /150 CUBS
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 228d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$255.85
modeled $1.88–11.45
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Cole Mathis 1st Auto Aqua Lava Refractor /199 #CPA-CMS
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.69–10.30
PASS
Cole Mathis 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple /250 Cubs
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$50.99
modeled $1.63–9.92
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Cole Mathis, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.44–$17.72, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.88 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $50.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $50.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +202%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.85 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +402%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $60.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $60.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -77%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.75 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +408%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $344.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $344.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
23.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
.215 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
58
plus · better than 78% at his level
15.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
18 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
58
plus · better than 78% at his level · the result, not a skill
.820 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 69th percentile of the cohort, production at the 78th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 69 and his production sits at 78, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.1 / 10
- old for High-A
- hitting well — 0.820 OPS in 130 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
130
AVG
.243
OBP
.362
SLG
.458
OPS
.820
better than 78%
HR
3
SB
4
BB%
15.4
K%
23.8
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market12 listed · 12 eBay-verified · 6 not shown above
- Listings
- 12
- Lowest seen
- $16.88
- Median ask
- $60.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $16.88
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $50.99
12 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 6 cards
- $60.002024 Bowman Draft Cole Mathis #CPA-CMS 1st Bowman Green Refractor Auto /99PASS
- $344.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor 10/50 Cole Mathis Auto v8jPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Cole Mathis 1st Auto Gold Refractor /50 Chicago CubsPASS
- $16.882024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CMS - Cole Mathis - 1st AutoPASS
- $33.422024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Mathis #CPA-CMS Auto v8jPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Cole Mathis #CPA-CMS Chicago Cubs METSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run