Deal Sniper

Kavares Tears

CF · Fort Wayne TinCaps · High-A · 24.0y · #1698 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is KAVARES TEARS 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Kavares Tears scores 52 out of 100 (#1698 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .246 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 91% at his level.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    32.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power: plus

    .246 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 91% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 60% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-KT — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$2.17–3.61midpoint $2.89

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 8 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-KT

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Kavares Tears Auto 1mr0 at $40.31, 1295% over the $2.89 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2.89 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Kavares Tears 1st Chrome True Gold Auto /50 #PSA 10 GEM

    /50 · PSA 10 · listed 27d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $300.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prosp Auto Kavares Tears #CPAKT Gold Shim 48/50 PSA 10

    /50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $355.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • KAVARES TEARS 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST AUTO PSA 9

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 8d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Kavares Tears 1st Chrome Gold Wave Auto 23/50 Padres ⚾

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $3.12–12.14

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Auto CPA-KT Kavares Tears Padres 1st Chrome Refractor /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 624d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $1.50–5.82

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft KAVARES TEARS AUTO 1st Auto PADRES CPA-KT

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.98

    sold $2.89

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $40.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $40.31 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +237%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $304.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $304.99 live
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +657%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level

    32.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level

    .246 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    12.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    2 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .797 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 88% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 12th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.5 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

279

AVG

.225

OBP

.326

SLG

.471

OPS

.797

better than 74%

HR

13

SB

1

BB%

12.5

K%

32.6

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .705 to .797 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.705▲.797

Power

.158▲.246

Walks

12.2%→12.5%

Strikeouts

29.1%▲32.6%

Last season, 475 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25 — $9.00 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$11.98
Median ask
$23.06
Cheapest 1st auto
$11.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$300.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • $13.492024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT KAVARES TEARS CPA-KT 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SAN DIEGO PADRESLOTTERY
  • $13.632024 Bowman Draft Kavares Tears Chrome Auto 1st Prospect San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $13.632024 Bowman Draft Kavares Tears Chrome Auto 1st Prospect PadresLOTTERY
  • —2024 Bowman Draft KAVARES TEARS 1st Chrome Auto CPA-KTPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft KAVARES TEARS 1st Chrome Auto CPA-KTPASS
  • —Kavares Tears 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-KT PadresPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Kavares Tears #CPA-KT (AU, RC)PASS
  • —KAVARES TEARS 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KT BLUE REFRACTOR /150 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • —KAVARES TEARS 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KT BLUE WAVE REFRACTOR /150 1ST AUTOPASS
  • $12.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kavares Tears #CPA-KT Auto 09anLOTTERY
  • $23.062024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kavares Tears #CPA-KT Auto 1mr0LOTTERY
  • $28.822024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kavares Tears #CPA-KT Auto 1l7vPASS
  • $40.312024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Kavares Tears Auto 1mr0PASS
  • $304.992024 Bowman Draft Kavares Tears Bowman 1st Printing Plate Auto 1/1PASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now