Deal Sniper

Slade Caldwell

CF · High-A · 20.0y · #1731 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell Auto… at $35.17. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Slade Caldwell scores 52 out of 100 (#1731 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .097 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    16.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 83% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    33 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 74% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

24 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 Diamondbacks

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $35.17

    modeled ~$13.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Slade Caldwell Prospect Auto Bowman Chrome Refractor /499 #CPA-SC BGS 9

    /499 · BGS 9 · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $50.91

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-SC Slade Caldwell Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 83d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $299.99

    modeled ~$49.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 1st Bowman Slade Caldwell Gold Auto /50 Diamondbacks Prospect (Paper)

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 451d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    $300.00

    modeled ~$52.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell 1st HTA Choice Auto /150 CPA-SC Diamondbacks

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 144d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.88

    modeled ~$10.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Lava Auto /99 PSA 9

    /99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 26d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.98

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Slade Caldwell, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $17.59–$36.93, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $315.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +796%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -3%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $300.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    27.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    45

    below average · better than 32% at his level

    .097 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level

    16.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    33 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .686 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 44th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 44, a gap of +13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 69th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.8 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

451

AVG

.220

OBP

.369

SLG

.317

OPS

.686

better than 44%

HR

6

SB

25

BB%

16.4

K%

27.5

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .681 to .686 OPS.

Still at High-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.681.686

Power

.073.097

Walks

15.7%16.4%

Strikeouts

25.3%27.5%

Last season, 300 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25$39.98 plus $4.99 shipping · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
24

24 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$35.17
Median ask
$300.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$35.17
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$35.17

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • $315.002025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 CPA-SCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-SC 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell 1st Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150 CPA-SCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman - Slade Caldwell Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 #CPASCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 AZ DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 AZ DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 AZ DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 AZ DbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman - Slade Caldwell Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9 #CPASCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-SCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Slade Caldwell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-SC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 1st Auto 2025 Bowman #CPA-SC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Sapphire Slade Caldwell Chrome Auto 1st # /199 psa 9 NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Slade Caldwell Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto #26/50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 1st Bowman Slade Caldwell Gold Auto /50 Diamondbacks Prospect (Paper)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 BOWMAN SLADE CALDWELL 1st CHROME MINI DIAMOND AUTO RC /100 DIAMONDBACKSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Slade Caldwell 1st Bowman TRUE Blue Refractor Auto 38/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Slade Caldwell 1st Auto 2025 Bowman #BPA-SC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE

Worth reading for this player