Nate George
CF · Frederick Keys · High-A · 20.0y · #1814 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
37 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate George Base… at $130. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Nate George scores 52 out of 100 (#1814 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $17–28 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 94 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Power: below average
.073 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: elite
96 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 100% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: plus
19.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 79% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
94 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$16.88–28.13midpoint $22.50
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 12 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nate George Baltimore Orioles #CPA-NG B at $40.48, 80% over the $22.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $22.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
37 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 37 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 31 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Nate George 1st ROOKIE AUTO PSA 9 MINT
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 14d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$66.98
modeled ~$42.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate George Base Auto PSA 10 #CPA-NG
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$129.95
modeled ~$122.94
NEEDS EVIDENCE
NATE GEORGE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST GREEN REPTILIAN AUTO /99 PSA 10
/99 · PSA 10 · listed 11d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$261.56
modeled ~$150.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-NG Blue Refractor 1st RC Auto /150 PSA 9
/150 · PSA 9 · listed 2d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$281.45
modeled ~$15.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Gold Refractor Auto 1st /50 #BCP-184 PSA 10 Auto
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 64d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$309.98
modeled ~$367.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate George Green Reptilian Refractor /99 BGS 9.5/10 Auto
/99 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 46d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$358.94
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $29.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $29.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $110.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $110.48 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +268%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $115.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $115.48 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $185.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $185.48 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +61%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $115.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $115.48 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -38%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $299.99 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +160%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1875.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1875.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +525%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level
19.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level
.073 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
48
average · better than 42% at his level
10.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level
96 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 57% at his level · the result, not a skill
.738 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 57th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 57, a gap of +3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 51th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.9 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
94
AVG
.293
OBP
.372
SLG
.366
OPS
.738
better than 57%
HR
1
SB
15
BB%
10.6
K%
19.1
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market37 listed · 37 eBay-verified · 31 not shown above
- Listings
- 37
- Lowest seen
- $29.99
- Median ask
- $185.48
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $29.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $110.48
37 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 31 cards
- $386.002025 Bowman Chrome Nate George 1st Prospect Auto Refractor PSA 10 /499 OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $521.982025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto True Gold Refractor 1st /50 Orioles PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $808.982025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto /150 1st True Blue Refractor #CPA-NG PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George True Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 10 #CPA-NGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —NATE GEORGE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-NG PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 1ST AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $349.99Nate George Signed Card 1st Bowman Gold /50 Auto Baltimore Orioles PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Nate George /150 Auto On Case 1st Bowman 2025 Blue Reptilian PSA 10 POP 2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $299.992025 Bowman Chrome NATE GEORGE 1st Yellow Refractor Auto RC #d/75 OriolesPASS
- $115.482025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto Reptilian Green Refractor 1st #/99 OriolesPASS
- $115.482025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto Blue RayWave Refractor 1st /150 #CPA-NGPASS
- $185.482025 Bowman Chrome Nate George 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 OriolesPASS
- $281.002025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto Blue RayWave Refractor 1st #/150 #CPA-NGPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George #CPA-NG 1st Bowman Auto Choice Mojo /150PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George 1st Bowman Auto True Blue /150PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 OriolesPASS
- $110.482025 Bowman Chrome - Nate George 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 Orioles #CPA-NGPASS
- —Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 OriolesPASS
- $29.99Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Baltimore Orioles AutoPASS
- $34.99Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-NG (B)PASS
- $34.99Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-NG (A)PASS
- $35.492025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Nate George #CPA-NG First 1st AutoPASS
- $40.482025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nate George Baltimore Orioles #CPA-NG BPASS
- $40.482025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nate George Baltimore Orioles #CPA-NGPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Nate George #CPA-NG First 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nate George AutoPASS
- —Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Baltimore OriolesPASS
- —Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Baltimore OriolesPASS
- —Nate George 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Baltimore OriolesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Nate George Auto Autograph 1st Bowman #CPA-NG OriolesPASS
- $1875.002025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto True Orange Refractor /25 #CPA-NG Nate George OriolesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Nate George Bowman 1st Auto #CPA-NG OriolesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run