Deal Sniper

Nolan Schubart

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #115 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

78 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Nolan Schubart…. Priced above value.

Our take

Strong prospect, untested market.

Nolan Schubart scores 78 out of 100 (#115 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $11–20 off 2 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.1% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    33.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    20.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 96% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: plus-plus

    .293 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.1% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-NS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$10.80–20.25midpoint $18.41

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 2 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-NS

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Nolan Schubart Auto 0m4f at $74.81, 381% over the $12–18.41 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $12 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • NOLAN SCHUBART 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1st Gold Auto /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $355.99

    modeled $15.55–68.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Topps 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Nolan Schubart Gold Shimmer Rookie Auto #/50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 207d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $15.55–68.04

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Nolan Schubart Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor 1st Prospect /71

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $140

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • NOLAN SCHUBART 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST RC GREEN LAVA AUTO /99 Grade Me!

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 61d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $289.98

    modeled $11.66–51.03

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT PROSPECT 1ST RC CHROME AUTO GREEN /99 NOLAN SCHUBART POWER!

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 61d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $309.98

    modeled $11.66–51.03

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Blue Wave Auto Nolan Schubart/150 *Guardians*

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 221d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $9.72–42.53

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Nolan Schubart, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $17.95–$37.70, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • True Red Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12599.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12599.99 live
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

18 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level

    33.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level

    .293 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    20.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    5 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.040 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 96th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 96% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 96, a gap of -38. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 4th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.5 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • hitting well — 1.040 OPS in 124 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

124

AVG

.303

OBP

.444

SLG

.596

OPS

1.040

better than 96%

HR

8

SB

1

BB%

20.2

K%

33.1

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .895 to 1.040 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.895▲1.040

Power

.216▲.293

Walks

22.7%▼20.2%

Strikeouts

36.4%▼33.1%

Last season, 66 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $999.99 plus $6.15 shipping · /50 · graded PSA 10 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$35.90
Median ask
$289.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$35.90
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$75.25

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • —2025 Bowman Draft Nolan Schubart 1st Chrome Aqua Lava Auto Autograph 17/199 SPPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Nolan Schubart 1st Chrome Aqua Lava Auto Autograph 038/199 🔥PASS
  • $75.252025 Bowman Chrome Draft Nolan Schubart 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-NSPASS
  • —NOLAN SCHUBART 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST RC REFRACTOR AUTO /499 #CPA-NS STUD!PASS
  • $199.51Nolan Schubart 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-NS First (1st) AUTO Blue Wave [#053/150]PASS
  • $12599.992025 Bowman Draft Nolan Schubart 1st Chrome TRUE Red Refractor Auto /5 - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Nolan Schubart 1st Bowman Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $1005.952025 Bowman Draft 1st Nolan Schubart #/50 Gold Wave Refractor Auto Guardians 🔥PASS
  • —2025 BOWMAN NOLAN SCHUBART 1ST RC YELLOW AUTO /75 Guardians MASS POWER! 📈🔥PASS
  • $505.952025 Bowman Draft 1st Nolan Schubart #/71 Sparkle Refractor Auto Guardians 🔥PASS
  • $35.90Nolan Schubart 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NS RC GuardiansPASS
  • $43.48Nolan Schubart 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-NS First (1st) Chrome Prospect AUTO -BPASS
  • $74.812025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Nolan Schubart Auto 0m4fPASS
  • —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Nolan Schubart #CPA-NS PASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now