Arjun Nimmala
SS · Double-A · 20.0y · #127 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
78 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $16.98 against the $50 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto 1st… at $186. Needs a $58 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Arjun Nimmala scores 78 out of 100 (#127 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $38–63 off 1 confirmed sale.
A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Plate discipline: plus
13.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 78% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.175 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 70% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $16.98
target is $40.00
Listed at your price — $21.35
target is $40.00
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$37.50–62.50midpoint $50.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 2 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$16.98delivered
2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto 1st Signed #BCP-142 GTP — $16.98 delivered, 66% under the $50 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Needs a $58 drop
- 2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto 1st… at or under $128 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
31 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 31 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 25 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto Green Refractor 1st #/99 Blue Jays PSA 10
/99 · PSA 10 · listed 26d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
modeled $270–288
WATCH
Arjun Nimmala Signed 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Mojo /99 Psa 10 Auto BCP-142
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 189d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$354.98
modeled $270–288
WATCH
ARJUN NIMMALA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO GREEN GRASS /99 #CPA-AN PSA 10 Q6642
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 25d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
modeled $270–288
WATCH
2024 Bowman Chrome ARJUN NIMMALA 1st Auto HTA Refractor /150 PSA 10 Jays SP
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 52d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$370.54
modeled $225–240
WATCH
Arjun Nimmala 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Refractor AUTO /499 PSA 10 #CPA-AN TOR BIRD
/499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$299.99
modeled $173–184
WATCH
Arjun Nimmala 2024 1st Bowman Auto Gold Sapphire /50 Au Rc Angels (BSPA-AN)
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $54–210
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Arjun Nimmala, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.49–$17.83, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- GoldTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $165.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $165.74 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +876%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.35 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -87%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $183.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $183.76 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +761%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $307.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $307.90 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +68%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.95 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
23.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level
.175 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
58
plus · better than 78% at his level
13.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
17 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level · the result, not a skill
.800 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 65th percentile of the cohort, production at the 75th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 65 and his production sits at 75, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 32th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
- young for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
181
AVG
.260
OBP
.365
SLG
.435
OPS
.800
better than 75%
HR
5
SB
5
BB%
13.3
K%
23.2
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .694 to .800 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.694▲.800
Power
.157▲.175
Walks
10.1%▲13.3%
Strikeouts
21.4%▲23.2%
Last season, 543 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market31 listed · 31 eBay-verified · 25 not shown above
- Listings
- 31
- Lowest seen
- $16.98
- Median ask
- $237.18
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $16.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $135.49
31 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.
The other 25 cards
- —Arjun Nimmala 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Refactor Green Sapphire Auto #/99 #CPA-ANWATCH
- $183.76Arjun Nimmala 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Auto /250 - Angels Top Prospect WATCH
- $307.902024 1st Bowman Draft * True Purple * Arjun Nimmala /250 Rookie RC Auto ChromeWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Arjun Nimmala Speckle Refractor Auto /299WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Arjun Nimmala Speckle Refractor Auto 160/299 Blue JaysWATCH
- —ARJUN NIMMALA 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 394/499 1stWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-AN Arjun Nimmala AutoWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto - Arjun Nimmala - Blue Jays Autograph!WATCH
- $16.982024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto 1st Signed #BCP-142 GTPLOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman - Paper Prospect Autographs Arjun Nimmala Bowman 1st Auto PSA 10PASS
- $21.35Arjun Nimmala 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mojo Refractor Auto #BMA-AN Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $305.952024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Green Grass Refractor 1st Bowman Auto 79/99 -Blue JaysPASS
- —2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala 1st Bowman Auto Green Shimmer 65/99 Blue JaysPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Arjun Nimmala 1st Bowman Auto Blue Lunar /150PASS
- —2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala 1st Bowman Auto Speckle Refractor /299PASS
- $135.492025 Bowman Chrome Arjun Nimmala Auto 1st Speckle Ref /299 PSA 9/10 RC AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $237.182024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Arjun Nimmala #CPA-AN SGC 10 GEM Auto 16j4NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9706.002024 Bowman Chrome Arjun Nimmala BLACK Auto 1/1 RC PSA Auth Pop 1 SuperfractorNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman 1st Gold Paper Auto RC /50 Arjun Nimmala PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Arjun Nimmala 1st Bowman Auto 2024 Bowman Speckle Refractor /299 SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Speckled Refractor Auto /299 RC PSA 9 Mint 1st Bowman NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Arjun Nimmala 1st Green Lava Refractor Auto #'d /99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $165.74Arjun Nimmala 1st bowman auto +gold AUTO RarePASS
- $185.642024 Bowman Arjun Nimmala Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AN Blue Jays PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman - Arjun Nimmala #CPA-AN - 1st RC Chrome Prospect Auto - PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run