Deal Sniper

Garret Forrester

3B · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2165 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

45 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $4.99. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Garret Forrester scores 48 out of 100 (#2165 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 81 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    32.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    23.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 96% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    3B is a position the hobby pays up for; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    81 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (32.1% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.62 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

45 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 45 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 39 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT GARRET FORRESTER RC AUTO #CDA-GF PIRATES 1ST

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 238d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.51

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Garret Forrester CDA-GF Pirates

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 23d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.98

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

  • Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO - Pirates #CDA-GF

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-GF Garret Forrester 1st Chrome Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 781d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.95

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

  • Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st on card Auto #CPA-GF Pirates

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 186d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.49

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Garret Forrester 1st Base Auto #CDA-GF Pirates Pittsburgh

    base · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.65

    modeled ~$8.00

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $20.19, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +458%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -26%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -55%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +213%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +9%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -30%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    32.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    .138 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    23.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    7 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .663 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 49th percentile of the cohort, production at the 31th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 49 and his production sits at 31, a gap of +18. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 76th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

81

AVG

.155

OBP

.370

SLG

.293

OPS

.663

better than 31%

HR

1

SB

1

BB%

23.5

K%

32.1

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market45 listed · 45 eBay-verified · 39 not shown above
Listings
45

45 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.62
Median ask
$11.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.51
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.72

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 39 cards

  • $6.722023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor AUTO /499 Garret Forrester #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.25Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.25Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto D Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto G Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto F Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto B Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto A Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $7.50Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto E Card #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $8.00Garret Forrester - ON-CARD AUTO - 1ST BOWMAN CHROME - 2023 Bowman Draft - CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $9.982023 Bowman Chrome Garret Forrester 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-GF PiratesLOTTERY
  • $10.452023 Bowman Draft Garret Forrester Chrome 1st Refractor AUTO #168/499 #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $11.002023 Bowman Draft Garret Forrester 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAGF Pirates 1LOTTERY
  • $11.002023 Bowman Draft Garret Forrester 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAGF Pirates 2LOTTERY
  • $11.242023 Bowman Draft Chrome GARRET FORRESTER 1st RC On Card AUTO PiratesLOTTERY
  • $13.052023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Garret Forrester Auto 16eiLOTTERY
  • $13.98Garret Forrester AUTO 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Autograph PiratesLOTTERY
  • $13.99GARRET FORRESTER 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-GFLOTTERY
  • $13.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor AUTO /499 Garret Forrester - Pittsburgh PiratesLOTTERY
  • $15.022023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 58/499 Garret Forrester Auto lh0LOTTERY
  • $15.972023 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 Garret ForresterLOTTERY
  • $16.88GARRET FORRESTER 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-GF 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
  • $17.012023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 110/499 Garret Forrester Auto 0j5zLOTTERY
  • $19.53Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-GF PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $19.622023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 230/499 Garret Forrester Auto 1n8aLOTTERY
  • $21.002023 Bowman Draft Garret Forrester 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto/250 #CDAGFLOTTERY
  • $22.782023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Garret Forrester Auto 0w6qLOTTERY
  • $24.95Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Chrome #CDAGF Purple /250 Refractor PSA 9 AutoLOTTERY
  • $29.61Garret Forrester 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Card /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Garret Forrester #CDA-GF 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Garret Forrester AUTO #CDA-GF Pirates AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO GARRET FORRESTER PIRATESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Garret Forrester 1st Auto #CDA-GF PSA Gem Mint 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.622023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Garret Forrester Auto #CDA-GF AutographLOTTERY
  • $15.022023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Garret Forrester Auto 2a9LOTTERY
  • $17.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Garret Forrester Auto 0w6qLOTTERY
  • $20.192023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Garret Forrester Auto 0w6qLOTTERY
  • $21.912023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Garret Forrester Auto 2a9LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player