Deal Sniper

Dario Laverde

C · Tri-City Dust Devils · High-A · 21.0y · #2165 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

60 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $4.41. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Dario Laverde scores 48 out of 100 (#2165 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 1 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: elite

    0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: elite

    100.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 100% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    1 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DL — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 24 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 24 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DL

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 24 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /150 at $4.41 costs 1.66× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

60 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 60 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 54 are under "The whole live market".

  • Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO HTA Choice REFRACTOR 050/150 RC z3

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.41

    modeled ~$6.99

    LOTTERY

  • Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect ATOMIC REFRACTOR 064/100 z1

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $6.42

    modeled ~$11.99

    LOTTERY

  • Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect ATOMIC REFRACTOR 064/100 z1

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.41

    modeled ~$11.99

    LOTTERY

  • Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Raywave /150 Anges CPA-DL

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 27d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.99

    modeled ~$6.00

    LOTTERY

  • Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 1st Prospect RC

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 442d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.29

    modeled ~$17.50

    LOTTERY

  • Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-DL Angels

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 109d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.48

    modeled ~$9.99

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.65, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.41, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +142%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.41, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -31%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.41, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -51%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +77%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $17.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 60 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 60 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    0.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    100.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.000 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 97th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 98% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 97, a gap of -39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 2th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.5 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

1

AVG

.000

OBP

1.000

SLG

.000

OPS

1.000

better than 97%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

100.0

K%

0.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market60 listed · 60 eBay-verified · 54 not shown above
Listings
60

60 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.65
Median ask
$7.41
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.65
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$4.41

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 54 cards

  • $17.282023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto Yellow Refractor 1st #/75 AngelsLOTTERY
  • $29.902023 Bowman Chrome 1st Dario LaVerde Blue Raywave Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.982023 Bowman Chrome DARIO LAVERDE Refractor 1st Auto SP /499 Gem Mint PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.902023 Bowman Chrome 1st Dario LaVerde Blue Raywave Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.502023 Bowman Chrome 1st Dario LaVerde Blue Raywave Refractor Auto #'d/150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde #CPA-DL 1st Rookie Auto /50 AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Dario Laverde #CPA-DL 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect ATOMIC REFRACTOR /100NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.42Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect PURPLE Refractor 042/250 z11LOTTERY
  • $7.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect PURPLE Refractor 042/250 z11LOTTERY
  • $7.41Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Prospect PURPLE Refractor 160/250 z4LOTTERY
  • $7.42Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Prospect PURPLE Refractor 160/250 z4LOTTERY
  • $10.782023 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 DARIO LAVERDE - Anaheim AngelsLOTTERY
  • $4.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR 177/299 z6LOTTERY
  • $5.74Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 AngelsLOTTERY
  • $6.42Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR 017/299 z8LOTTERY
  • $6.42Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR 034/299 z7LOTTERY
  • $7.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR 034/299 z7LOTTERY
  • $7.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR 017/299 z8LOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto 1st Bowman Speckle /299 AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE REFRACTOR #d/299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 433/499 RC z2LOTTERY
  • $6.42Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 322/499 RC z5LOTTERY
  • $6.992023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DL Dario Laverde Refractor 1st Bowman Auto /499LOTTERY
  • $7.41Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 322/499 RC z5LOTTERY
  • $7.752023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DL Dario Laverde Refractor 1st Rookie Auto /499 AngelsLOTTERY
  • $11.602023 Dario Laverde Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto RC /499 #CPA-DL (H1270)LOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-DL Green /99 PSA 9 AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.99Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 322/499 RC A5LOTTERY
  • $2.65Dario Laverde 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH Angels RC z9LOTTERY
  • $2.952023 Bowman Chrome 1st Dario Laverde Auto #CPA-DLLOTTERY
  • $4.112023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Dario Laverde Auto #CPA-DL AngelsLOTTERY
  • $4.682023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DL Los Angeles Angels RCLOTTERY
  • $4.782023 1st Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto #CPA-DL Los Angeles AngelsLOTTERY
  • $5.362023 BOWMAN CHROME DARIO LAVERDE RC AUTO #CPA-DL ANGELS 1STLOTTERY
  • $5.73Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs 1st Rookie AUTO ANGELSLOTTERY
  • $5.882023 Bowman Chrome 1st Dario Laverde AutoLOTTERY
  • $5.99Dario Laverde 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto AngelsLOTTERY
  • $7.992023 1st Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto #CPA-DL Los Angeles AngelsLOTTERY
  • $9.002023 1st Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Auto Los Angeles AngelsLOTTERY
  • $9.992023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-DL AngelsLOTTERY
  • $11.19Dario Laverde 1st AUTO 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DL Los Angeles Angels ProspectLOTTERY
  • $11.602023 Dario Laverde Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-DL (H1075)LOTTERY
  • $12.992023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde AUTO 1st AngelsLOTTERY
  • $15.942023 DARIO LAVERDE BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTO AUTOGRAPH CPA-DLLOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DL Los Angeles Angels RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Dario Laverde Auto 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome Angels 🔥🔥🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Dario Laverde 1st Auto CPA-DL AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome DARIO LAVERDE RC 1st Prospect Auto Los Angeles Angels CPA-DLNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.732023 Topps DARIO LAVERDE BOWMAN CHROME 1ST Bowman AUTO Los Angeles AngelsLOTTERY
  • $9.492023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DL shipping $.99LOTTERY
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Dario Laverde Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-DLNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 DARIO LAVERDE BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTO AUTOGRAPH CPA-DL LA ANGELS ROOKIEPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player