Tavian Josenberger
CF · Double-A · 24.0y · #2230 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Tavian Josenberger Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Tavian Josenberger scores 47 out of 100 (#2230 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 53 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 90% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: plus
53 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 90% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
16.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 89% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Elite speed (90th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
OPS improving
.651 last season to .718 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TJ — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 17 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 17 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TJ
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 17 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Tavian Josenberger #CPA-TJ Auto 9hx at $21.92, 537% over the $3.44 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $3.44 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TJ Tavian Josenberger Auto 1st Prospect Rookie Card RC
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 71d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.98
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
#CPA-TJ Tavian Josenberger 1st 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 461d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.49
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TJ Tavian Josenberger 1st Chrome Prospect Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 566d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.94
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-TJ Orioles
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 296d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.00
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Tavian Josenberger 1st Prospect Auto CPA-TJ Baltimore Orioles
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 190d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.34
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TJ Orioles GC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 840d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.10
modeled ~$9.99
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $372.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $372.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +6129%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.38 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -96%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.32 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $355.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $355.78 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +782%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.36, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.36 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -93%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 58 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 58 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
23.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level
.158 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
16.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level
53 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
51
average · better than 52% at his level · the result, not a skill
.718 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 75th percentile of the cohort, production at the 52th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 75 and his production sits at 52, a gap of +23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
382
AVG
.212
OBP
.348
SLG
.370
OPS
.718
better than 52%
HR
10
SB
34
BB%
16.2
K%
23.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .651 up to .718 OPS.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.651▲.718
Power
.123▲.158
Walks
16.7%→16.2%
Strikeouts
24.9%▼23.8%
Last season, 257 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
- Listings
- 28
- Lowest seen
- $5.98
- Median ask
- $22.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $14.38
28 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 22 cards
- $12.392024 Bowman Baseball Chrome Tavian Josenberger AUTO 1st Baltimore Orioles CPA-TJLOTTERY
- $23.072024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Tavian Josenberger Auto 1e0wLOTTERY
- $24.982024 Bowman Chrome Auto Tavian Josenberger 1st Auto #CPA-TJ PSA 10LOTTERY
- $25.362024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 60/75 Tavian Josenberger Auto 0c3eNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.752024 Bowman Chrome Tavian Josenberger Green Auto /99 Psa 9 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $39.752024 Bowman Chrome Tavian Josenberger Blue Lunar Auto /150 Psa 9 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.322024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 80/150 Tavian Josenberger Auto 0rd2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $355.782024 Bowman TAVIAN JOSENBERGER Chrome 1st AUTO RC Orioles MINI DIAMOND /100NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $372.502024 Bowman Chrome 1st SPECKLE REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tavian JosenbergerNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Tavian Josenberger Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TJ Tavian Josenberger Auto 1st Prospect Rookie Card RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-TJ OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Autographs Tavian Josenberger #CPA-TJ 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-TJ OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome Auto 1st Bowman • Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Tavian Josenberger 1st Prospect Auto CPA-TJ Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TJ OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Tavian Josenberger 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-TJ 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Tavian Josenberger Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-TJ OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $36.902024 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Autographs Tavian Josenberger PSA Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $14.38Tavian Josenberger 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 OriolesLOTTERY
- $21.922024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Tavian Josenberger #CPA-TJ Auto 9hxLOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run