Deal Sniper

Jaime Ferrer

CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #2253 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

23 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaime Ferrer 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jaime Ferrer scores 47 out of 100 (#2253 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    6.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

  • OPS improving

    .635 last season to .655 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 11 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JF

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is JAIME FERRER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BOWMAN REFRACTOR AUTO /499 TWINS SPRC at $15, 254% over the $4.24 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $4.24 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

23 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 23 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 17 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO JAIME FERRER TWINS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 73d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.74

    modeled ~$8.21

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto #CPA-JF

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 74d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.70

    modeled ~$8.21

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto #CPA-JF

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 74d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.70

    modeled ~$8.21

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto Chrome Prospect #CPA-JF

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.78

    modeled ~$8.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Autographs #CPA-JF Jaime Ferrer 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 618d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.79

    modeled ~$8.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jaime Ferrer 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Auto #CPA-JF

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 67d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.25

    modeled ~$8.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.74 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.00 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +217%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $304.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $304.85 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1932%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $360.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $360.85 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    50

    average · better than 50% at his level

    25.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    .125 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level

    6.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    52

    average · better than 57% at his level

    22 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .655 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 41th percentile of the cohort, production at the 34th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 41 and his production sits at 34, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 60th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

249

AVG

.228

OBP

.302

SLG

.353

OPS

.655

better than 34%

HR

5

SB

9

BB%

6.8

K%

25.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .635 to .655 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.635▲.655

Power

.123→.125

Walks

6.2%→6.8%

Strikeouts

22.5%▲25.3%

Last season, 373 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market23 listed · 23 eBay-verified · 17 not shown above
Listings
23

23 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.74
Median ask
$12.72
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.74
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$15.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 17 cards

  • $34.502024 Bowman Draft Jaime Ferrer Chrome Auto Refractor 1st PSA 9 #/499 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.852024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto Sparkle Refractor /71 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $346.852024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto Sparkle Refractor /71 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $360.852024 Bowman Chrome Draft Jaime Ferrer 1st Gold Wave Refractor Auto /50 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto REFRACTOR/499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Jaime Ferrer Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-JF TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Jaime Ferrer RC Rookie Auto ~ Minnesota TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JF Jaime Ferrer 1st Bowman Chrome Auto MN TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-JF Jaime Ferrer 1st Prospect Auto Minnesota TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Baseball 1st Chrome Auto Jaime Ferrer CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Jaime Ferrer 1st Auto Chrome #CPA-JF Twins RC RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome TRUE GOLD REFRACTOR AUTO/50 Jaime Ferrer PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect Jaime Ferrer 1st Red Refractor Auto 2/5 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.712024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jaime Ferrer #CPA-JF Auto 03j5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jaime Ferrer #CPA-JF Auto 1r25NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jaime Ferrer #CPA-JF Auto 15w8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.00JAIME FERRER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BOWMAN REFRACTOR AUTO /499 TWINS SPRCPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now