Aaron Parker
C · Double-A · 23.0y · #715 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
47 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Aaron Parker Bowman Draft Chrome…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Aaron Parker scores 61 out of 100 (#715 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Contact: below average
30.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power: plus
.219 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 84% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
12.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 75% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AP — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AP
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aaron Parker #CPA-AP Auto wc7 at $19.61, 503% over the $3.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $3.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
47 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 47 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 41 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft | Aaron Parker | 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 52d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.98
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Bowman Auto CPA-AP Toronto Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
Aaron Parker 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-AP - Toronto Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 44d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.86
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-AP
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 125d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.24
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Auto Toronto Blue Jays #CPA-AP
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 50d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.45
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Bowman Auto CPA-AP Toronto Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$6.98
sold $3.25
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- BlueTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.31 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +187%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.61, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.61 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
30.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
.219 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
12.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
25 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · the result, not a skill
.842 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 62th percentile of the cohort, production at the 83th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 62 and his production sits at 83, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.2 / 10
- already at Double-A
- hitting well — 0.842 OPS in 287 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
287
AVG
.263
OBP
.360
SLG
.482
OPS
.842
better than 83%
HR
16
SB
12
BB%
12.9
K%
30.7
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .687 to .842 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.687▲.842
Power
.153▲.219
Walks
7.6%▲12.9%
Strikeouts
19.6%▲30.7%
Last season, 276 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market47 listed · 47 eBay-verified · 41 not shown above
- Listings
- 47
- Lowest seen
- $4.98
- Median ask
- $14.31
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.98
47 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 41 cards
- $8.602024 Aaron Parker Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-AP (H1225) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $8.792024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-AP Aaron Parker 1st Auto Toronto Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $13.102024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $13.23AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $13.23AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $13.99AARON PARKER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-APLOTTERY
- $13.99AARON PARKER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-APLOTTERY
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-AP JaysPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Bowman Base Auto Toronto Blue JaysPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Auto #CPA-APPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Aaron Parker Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AP Blue JaysPASS
- —AARON PARKER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH BLUE JAYS AUTOPASS
- —Aaron Parker 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-AP 1st Prospect AutoPASS
- —AARON PARKER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH BLUE JAYS AUTOPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Auto Toronto Blue Jays #CPA-APPASS
- —Aaron Parker 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-AP 🔥 Auto 🔥 Blue Jays Prospect 1stPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-AP Aaron Parker 1st Auto Toronto Blue JaysPASS
- $8.98AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $9.612024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT AARON PARKER RC AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR #D 075/250 SP 1STLOTTERY
- $14.312024 Bowman Draft Aaron Parker Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st Prospect Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 139/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 448/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 237/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 194/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 181/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 180/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.08AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 108/499 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.98AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 103/250 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.98AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 202/250 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.98AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 229/250 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $16.98AARON PARKER 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 48/250 1st CPA-APLOTTERY
- $17.322024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Aaron Parker #CPA-AP Auto 16wcLOTTERY
- $18.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Refractor Auto /499 Blue JaysLOTTERY
- —Aaron Parker 1st Bowman MOJO /150 Auto CPA-AP 2024 Bowman Draft Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Aaron Parker Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor 1st Auto #/499 Blue Jays🔥⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —AARON PARKER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-AP SPARKLES REFRACTOR /71 1ST PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Aaron Parker 1st Refractor Auto /499 Toronto Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —🔥2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aaron Parker 1st Aqua Lava Auto /199 PSA 9 POP 1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Aaron Parker Chrome Auto SNACK PACK PEANUT 5/5 BOOKEND💥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.312024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aaron Parker #CPA-AP Auto 1mr0LOTTERY
- $19.612024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aaron Parker #CPA-AP Auto wc7LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run