Lisbel Diaz
CF · Double-A · 21.0y · #695 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
All in it's $205.99, and these have been selling around $59.97.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Lisbel Diaz scores 62 out of 100 (#695 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 26 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
7.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.725 last season to .564 this one.
Speed: plus
46 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 86% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
26 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Lisbel Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-LDI 1st Auto RC at $48.76, 144% over the $19.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $19.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".
Lisbel Diaz - 2024 Bowman Chrome Orange Shimmer Auto /25 1st Bowman
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$205.99
modeled $59.97
PASS
Lisbel Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Shimmer Refractor Auto /25 SF Giants
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $59.97
PASS
LISBEL DIAZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ORANGE SHIMMER REFRACTOR AUTO /25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $59.97
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Lisbel Diaz True Gold Refractor Auto /50 Prospect RC
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$177.98
modeled $47.98
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Lisbel Diaz Auto Gold Mini Diamond Refractor 1st #/50 Giants
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $47.98
PASS
Lisbel Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 SF Giants
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $47.98
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Lisbel Diaz, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $17.49–$36.73, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $48.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $48.76 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $45.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $45.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $62.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $62.74 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $94.37, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $94.37 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.49 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $205.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $205.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +52%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
48
average · better than 41% at his level
26.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
.166 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
44
below average · better than 27% at his level
7.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
46 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level · the result, not a skill
.564 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 55th percentile of the cohort, production at the 17th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 55 and his production sits at 17, a gap of +38. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.5 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
26
AVG
.167
OBP
.231
SLG
.333
OPS
.564
better than 17%
HR
1
SB
2
BB%
7.7
K%
26.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .725 to .564 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.725▼.564
Power
.136▲.166
Walks
5.9%▲7.7%
Strikeouts
18.7%▲26.9%
Last season, 561 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
- Listings
- 19
- Lowest live
- $34.98
- Median ask
- $64.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $34.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $34.98
19 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 13 cards
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Lisbel Diaz Auto Gold Mini Diamond Refractor 1st #/50 GiantsPASS
- $85.49Lisbel Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Yellow /75 Giants Autograph 1st BowmanPASS
- $45.99Lisbel Diaz - 2024 Bowman Chrome Blue RayWave Auto /150 1st BowmanPASS
- $64.99Lisbel Diaz 1st Bowman 2024 Chrome Prospect BLUE RAYWAVE AUTO /150 ON CARDPASS
- —LISBEL DIAZ 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-LDI Blue Reptilian /150 RefractorPASS
- $34.98Lisbel Diaz Refractor Auto /499 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Giants RC ProspectPASS
- $35.88Lisbel Diaz Refractor Auto #/499 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph GiantsPASS
- $35.99Lisbel Diaz - 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 1st BowmanPASS
- $48.76Lisbel Diaz 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-LDI 1st Auto RCPASS
- $94.372024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor /99 Lisbel Diaz #CPA-LDI Auto 1r66PASS
- $135.982024 Bowman Chrome LISBEL DIAZ TRUE Gold 05/50 Refractor Auto HOT PROSPECTPASS
- $62.742024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue RayWave Refractor 120/150 Lisbel Diaz Auto sc8PASS
- $181.092024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Lisbel Diaz PSA 10 GEM MT Auto sc8NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run