Deal Sniper

Ty Southisene

SS · Vancouver Canadians · High-A · 21.0y · #892 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

59 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

37 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Ty Southisene 1st Chrome… at $799. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Ty Southisene scores 59 out of 100 (#892 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .070 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Contact: plus-plus

    13.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 96% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: plus

    52 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 90% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TS

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Ty Southisene 1st 2024 Bowman Draft Auto Yellow Printing Plate 1/1 Cubs at $181, 6141% over the $2.90 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

1/1 at or under $2.90 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

37 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 37 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 31 are under "The whole live market".

  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Gold Wave /50 Cubs

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $55.99

    modeled $6.96

    PASS

  • 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Southisene * Gold Wave * Insert /50 SSP Auto Cub

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 453d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $287.90

    modeled $6.96

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Ty Southisene Chrome Auto Green Refractor 1st #/99 Cubs

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $5.22

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft TY SOUTHISENE HTA choice refractor auto 135/150 RC 1st

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $21.48

    modeled $4.35

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Ty Southisene 1st Chrome BUBBLE GUM AUTO 5/5 #CPA-TS PSA 10

    /5 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $799.00

    modeled ~$727.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft TY SOUTHISENE refractor auto - 286/499 - RC - 1st

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $20.48

    sold $9.95

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.06, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +559%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -72%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $32.84, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +153%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $20.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $295.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1276%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $55.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -81%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $181.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +223%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 57 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    13.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level

    .070 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    13.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level

    52 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    58

    plus · better than 78% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .820 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 78th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 78, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • hitting well — 0.820 OPS in 263 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

263

AVG

.313

OBP

.437

SLG

.383

OPS

.820

better than 78%

HR

1

SB

23

BB%

13.7

K%

13.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .663 to .820 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.663.820

Power

.032.070

Walks

15.9%13.7%

Strikeouts

14.9%13.3%

Last season, 389 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market37 listed · 37 eBay-verified · 31 not shown above
Listings
37

37 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.99
Median ask
$16.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$20.48

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 31 cards

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Ty Southisene 1st Refractor Auto /499 Rookie RC #CPA-TS CubsPASS
  • $6.992024 Bowman Chrome Draft Ty Southisene Auto 1st #CPA-TS Chicago CubsLOTTERY
  • $9.492024 Bowman Chrome Draft Ty Southisene Auto 1st #CPA-TS Chicago CubsLOTTERY
  • $10.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st TY SOUTHISENE AUTO #CPA-TS LOTTERY
  • $11.482024 Bowman Baseball - Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-TS Cubs - TY SOUTHISENELOTTERY
  • $12.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Ty Southisene RC #CPA-TS BLUE JAYSLOTTERY
  • $13.252024 Bowman Draft - 1st Bowman Chrome Ty Southisene Auto #CPA-TS (RC) CubsLOTTERY
  • $13.25Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-TS Chrome Auto 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $15.00Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Prospect Auto Chicago Cubs CPA-TSLOTTERY
  • $15.241st 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO CPA-TS TY SOUTHISENE RC Top Cub Prospect/ JaysLOTTERY
  • $15.852024 TY SOUTHISENE 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph Auto Rookie RC #CPA-TS CubsLOTTERY
  • $16.142024 Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Southisene 1st AutoLOTTERY
  • $18.242024 Bowman Chrome Ty Southisene 1st Prospect AUTO (MS)LOTTERY
  • $181.00Ty Southisene 1st 2024 Bowman Draft Auto Yellow Printing Plate 1/1 Cubs PASS
  • $295.62Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft Auto #CPA-TS 1st AUTO Gold Shimmer [#08/50]PASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st AutoPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Autographs Ty Southisene #CPA-TS 1st AutoPASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman DRAFT Chrome 1st Auto Refractor Toronto BLUE JAYS!!PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft - Ty Southisene 1st AUTO #CPA-TSPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Ty Southisene #CPA-TS (AU, RC)PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Ty Southisene #CPA-TS (AU, RC)PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Southisene 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Base Auto #CPA-TS CubsPASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Prospect Auto Chicago Cubs CPA-TSPASS
  • $11.492024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO TY SOUTHISENELOTTERY
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Base Auto #CPA-TS CubsPASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Base Auto #CPA-TS CubsPASS
  • Ty Southisene 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Base Auto #CPA-TS CubsPASS
  • $32.842024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Ty Southisene Auto 1d59PASS
  • $46.062024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Ty Southisene Auto 0vm6PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Ty Southisene Bowman 1st Auto /150 Blue Wave Color Match 🔥🔥PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player