Deal Sniper

JD Dix

SS · High-A · 20.0y · #966 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is JD Dix 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

JD Dix scores 58 out of 100 (#966 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .726 last season to .702 this one.

  • Speed: plus

    44 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 85% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $21.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".

  • JD Dix Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JD Chrome Prospect Autographs

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $21.99

    modeled ~$11.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect JD Dix #CPA-JD Auto 8g8

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $26.21

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect JD Dix #CPA-JD Auto yj0

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $26.80

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect JD Dix #CPA-JD Auto 1i3v

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $29.68

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PICKS J.D. DIX RC AUTO PSA MINT 9 DIAMONDBACKS #CPAJD

    base · raw · listed 87d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $30.98

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect JD Dix #CPA-JD Auto 09an

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $34.51

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on JD Dix, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $10.99–$23.09, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.00 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1292%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $307.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $307.98 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange Wave Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $275.80, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $275.80 live
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -10%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    47

    average · better than 40% at his level

    27.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    .120 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    10.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    60

    plus · better than 85% at his level

    44 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .702 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 48th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 48, a gap of +5. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 55th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

217

AVG

.250

OBP

.332

SLG

.370

OPS

.702

better than 48%

HR

3

SB

16

BB%

10.6

K%

27.2

Is this player getting better?

Down from .726 to .702 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.726▼.702

Power

.074▲.120

Walks

16.5%▼10.6%

Strikeouts

22.2%▲27.2%

Last season, 230 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
Listings
22

22 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$21.99
Median ask
$63.47
Cheapest 1st auto
$35.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$159.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 16 cards

  • $35.00JD Dix 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 9 #CPAJDNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $91.942024 Bowman Draft JD Dix 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 💎🔥📈 #CPA-JD DBacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $116.512024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor JD Dix PSA 9 Auto tg5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $159.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect On Card Auto JD Dix 1st Yellow /75 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $275.802024 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman JD DIX Orange Wave Refractor 23/25 #CPA-JD AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $306.002024 Bowman Draft JD Dix Chrome Auto Gold Wave Refractor /50 1st #CPA-JDNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $307.982024 Bowman Draft Sapphire #CPA-JD JD Dix 1st Chrome Gold Auto /50 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $307.982024 Bowman Draft Sapphire #CPA-JD JD Dix 1st Chrome Gold Auto /50 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —JD Dix 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-JD 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Topps Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Rookie JD Dix #CPA-JD PSA 10 /10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft JD DIX Chrome Class of 2024 GREEN REFRACTOR AUTO /99 AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —JD Dix 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 9 #CPAJDNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Draft JD Dix Signed Yellow Refractor /75 PSA 10 Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Draft JD Dix Signed Yellow Sapphire /75 PSA 10 Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman JD Dix Chrome Auto 1st Prospect HTA Chocie Mojo /150 CPA-JD PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —JD Dix 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JD Chrome Auto 1st Prospect DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now