Ethan Frey
CF · Asheville Tourists · High-A · 22.0y · #983 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Ethan Frey scores 58 out of 100 (#983 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $14–44 off 3 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: below average
29.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.904 last season to .816 this one.
Speed: plus
39 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 80% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$13.50–43.99midpoint $16.00
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.
$12.80 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".
Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 Houston Astros
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $14.58–111
PASS
ETHAN FREY 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO RC PSA 9 AUTO 10 POP 11 BA
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 5d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$66.00
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
ETHAN FREY 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-EF 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9
/150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 168d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
$335.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto /99 Green Lava Refractor PSA 10 Gem Mint
/99 · PSA 10 · listed 49d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$364.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9
/150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Topps Bowman Draft 2025 Ethan Frey Houston Astros 1st Bowman Auto CPA-EF
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $15–39.99
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ethan Frey, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $12.99–$27.29, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
29.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
.176 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
12.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level
39 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill
.816 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 77, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 25th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.0 / 10
- old for High-A
- hitting well — 0.816 OPS in 291 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
291
AVG
.276
OBP
.364
SLG
.452
OPS
.816
better than 77%
HR
9
SB
19
BB%
12.7
K%
29.2
Is this player getting better?
Down from .904 to .816 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.904▼.816
Power
.140▲.176
Walks
16.4%▼12.7%
Strikeouts
20.5%▲29.2%
Last season, 122 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
- Listings
- 17
- Lowest seen
- $25.99
- Median ask
- $201.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $335.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $335.99
17 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 11 cards
- —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Frey Chrome Auto 1st Prospect True Blue /150 RefractorPASS
- —Topps 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua 2025 Ethan Frey Astros CPA-EF Auto /199PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Ethan Frey Refractor 1st Bowman #/499 Astros RCPASS
- —Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Houston AstrosPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Ethan Frey #CPA-EF PSA 10 /150 HTAPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Frey Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 AstrosPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Frey 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 AstrosPASS
- $25.992025 BOWMAN ETHAN FREY 1ST AUTO HOUSTON ASTROSPASS
- —Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Houston AstrosPASS
- —Ethan Frey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Houston AstrosPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome - Ethan Frey - 1st Bowman Auto Astros/LSU ProspectPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run